Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin’s Base Price, Market Conditions and Central Bank Intervention!

Jakarta, Pintu News – BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin still has downside potential despite having corrected 24% from its all-time high. In a new post on social media platform X, Hayes outlined a series of events that he believes will force the Federal Reserve to change its tight monetary policy.

Bitcoin Decline Prediction

According to Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) will experience a decline along with the US stock market, but it will not be enough to trigger intervention from the Federal Reserve. Hayes argues that the collapse of traditional financial companies (TradFi) in the US will force the Federal Reserve to stop its quantitative tightening (QT) policy.

This move is expected to encourage other major central banks to follow suit. Hayes thinks that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to bottom out at around $70,000, a 36% drop from its all-time high of $110,000, which is considered normal in a bull market.

Also Read: Bitcoin’s RSI Dominance Down? Crypto Analyst Seth Says Altcoin Market Opportunities Await!

Market Conditions and Central Bank Intervention

Hayes emphasized that in order to reach a turning point, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices need to experience a sharp decline first. After that, the failure of TradFi companies will be the catalyst that forces central banks such as the Federal Reserve (Fed), People’s Bank of China (PBOC), European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of Japan (BOJ) to ease their policies. This move is expected to restore economic stability and strengthen the market.

Investment Strategy and Price Fluctuations

Hayes advises traders to buy on dips, but those who are more risk-averse should wait until central banks begin to ease policy before adding to investment capital. With this strategy, investors may not buy at the lowest prices, but they also don’t have to endure long periods of unrealized losses.

Hayes also warned that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to experience significant price fluctuations as it approaches its lowest price target due to the large number of derivative contracts circulating in the low $70,000 price area.

Conclusion

With the dynamic and uncertain market situation, Hayes’ views provide a valuable perspective for investors looking for the right time to invest. While market predictions always have a degree of uncertainty, analysis from an experienced figure like Hayes is often useful for preparing better investment strategies.

Also Read: Will ETH Fall Below $1,500 Before the Market Recovers? Here’s the Price Pattern Analysis! (3/13/25)

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Daily Hodl. Arthur Hayes Unveils Bitcoin Bottom Price Target, Predicts Central Banks Stepping in as Stock Market Collapses. Accessed on March 13, 2025
• Featured Image: CryptoSlate