XRP Set to Soar to $25 with ETF Approval—But Could It Crash 90% After? Analysts Sound the Alarm!

Updated

June 11, 2025

Gambar XRP Set to Soar to $25 with ETF Approval—But Could It Crash 90% After? Analysts Sound the Alarm!

Jakarta, Pintu News – As reported by Cointelegraph (10/6), XRP managed to recover from the losses incurred between Wednesday and Friday, and now stands at around $2.26-up 9.7% from its local low of $2.06.

Analysts say that the altcoin has the potential to surge into double digits, as optimism grows regarding the possibility of an XRP spot ETF being approved in 2025.

XRP ETF Approval Chance Jumps to 98%

The chances of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in 2025 jumped to 98% on Tuesday, according to data from Polymarket.

Several spot XRP ETF filings by major players such as Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, and 21Shares have increased pressure on the SEC, indicating a strong demand for regulated XRP investment instruments.

CME Group’s launch of the XRP futures ETF on May 19, with a first-day trading volume of $19 million, demonstrated market maturity and institutional interest, addressing SEC concerns regarding regulated derivatives markets.

Three companies from various sectors also announced plans to invest over $471 million in XRP reserves, including Webus International’s filing of a $300 million strategic reserve with the SEC-confirming corporate adoption and growing institutional confidence.

These factors, plus Ripple’s legal clarity after the SEC lawsuit was dropped in March, have strengthened market sentiment.

XRP Demand Potentially Increases

Although the SEC delayed a number of filings, the success of CME’s futures market and corporate investment strategy has pushed the odds of approval at Polymarket up from 68% in April to 98% in early June, reflecting expectations of approval before December 31.

If this ETF is approved, it is expected to attract large amounts of institutional capital, increase demand for XRP, and push the price higher-some analysts even predict the price could reach $50 if big players like BlackRock take part.

Analysts Predict XRP Price Could Break Above $25

The price of XRP has been stuck below $3.00 since February 1, but analysts expect the cryptocurrency to see a major recovery, with a target of $25 or more.

According to market analyst Egrag Crypto, XRP prices are “targeting double-digit figures” by 2025.

#XRP – The Guardian Arch ($20-$27): Key Targets and Strategy

By now, you should understand what I mean about targeting double digits. But please, I urge you, don’t wait for just one target to sell. Always take profits rationally and set clear, specific targets. I can’t stress… pic.twitter.com/ORiSEszwic
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) June 9, 2025

In his analysis called “The Guardian Arch,” he predicts that XRP could rise to $20, potentially even touching $27, based on past price patterns and previous timeframes.

This analysis uses the relative position between the 21-week exponential moving average and the 33-week simple moving average as a leading indicator to identify potential turning points.

He also highlighted the formation of a bull flag pattern on the monthly chart, which suggests a continuation of the uptrend towards $20, before a possible 86% sharp correction back to the $3.00 range in a bear market.

“The measured move is towards $20, but I believe the next bullish phase could be very aggressive, then crash like the 2021 bear market – around 86%. That could take XRP down to around $3.00 if we ever touch $27.”

Another analyst, Jaydee_757, supports this view by comparing XRP’s current technical structure to the “hidden bullish divergence” that occurred in 2017.

Back then, similar conditions triggered a surge in the price of XRP from around $0.0055 to break $3.40 – a 20-fold increase.

#XRP – Comparing 2017 Hidden Bullish Divergence (HBD) vs. PRESENT TIME!

2017 HBD led to a 20x BIBLICAL rise! Then 90%+ crash🤦‍♂️😂

Present time has similar structure! BIBLICAL move then HISTORICAL crash to my PINK BOX! (Pink box is updated on Patreon/Discord!)

RT for updates!… pic.twitter.com/rXDUjyspgH
— JD 🇵🇭 (@jaydee_757) June 9, 2025

If the 2017 scenario repeats itself, the price of XRP could potentially surge to $25 or more, which would mean an increase of more than 1,000% from current levels.

However, Jaydee_757 also warns that this huge spike could be followed by a sharp drop of up to 90% during the bearish phase, making the $25 mark the peak of XRP’s bull cycle in 2025.

“The current structure is very similar! A big spike to $25, then a historical crash.”

This prediction also aligns with previous projections that XRP could reach $27, based on fractal chart patterns, Elliot wave analysis, and Fibonacci extensions.

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