Jakarta, Pintu News – The cryptocurrency market is always full of speculations and predictions. Recently, the debate over when Bitcoin (BTC) will peak has become a hot topic among investors and analysts. Although some predictions suggest that the peak will occur by the end of this year, leading analyst Quinten Francois gives a different view based on historical data and market psychology.
Quinten Francois, a respected Bitcoin (BTC) market commentator, asserts that expectations of a market peak in November are premature. Referring to previous market cycles, such as in 2017 and 2021, the altcoin season-a period when altcoins outperformed Bitcoin (BTC)-did not start until the first quarter of the year.
From that point, the psychological cycle driven by retail participation takes about 9 to 12 months to fully develop. Right now, according to Quinten’s analysis, the altcoin season hasn’t even really begun. The Ethereum (ETH)/Bitcoin (BTC) ratio, which is often used as an indicator of the momentum of the altcoin season, has just started to show changes.
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Quinten admits that the only possible condition for a big peak this year is if the altcoin cycle doesn’t happen at all. That scenario, or an unexpected black swan event, could shorten the retail cycle and cause an earlier peak than usual.
However, the likelihood of this happening is very low, and psychological cycles are unlikely to last faster than 9-12 months. As such, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action will most likely proceed as usual. “If everything plays out as it has before (we can only count on this), then it’s just not going to happen,” Quinten said.

Although Quinten did not provide a specific price target for Bitcoin (BTC) peak this cycle, other technical analysts have pointed to targets between $140,000 to $200,000. In another post on the social media platform, Quinten noted that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently experiencing the biggest bullish setup in its history.
This outlook is based on a retest of the uptrend all-time high line, which Bitcoin (BTC) successfully broke in July. At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $114,460, a decline of about 3.7% in the last seven days.
Taking into account in-depth analysis and historical data, it seems that the Bitcoin (BTC) market will still experience a lot of dynamics before it reaches its peak. Investors and market watchers are expected to monitor further developments, especially related to the altcoin cycle which will largely determine the future direction of the market.
Also Read: Are These 3 Altcoins Likely to Print All-Time High in August 2025?
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