
Jakarta, Pintu News – After Bitcoin hit a new record high, analysts predict that the biggest altcoin season in history is imminent. This prediction is based on the capital flow cycle and historical behavior of the crypto market. This article will outline the key factors that support these predictions!
Wimar.X, a leading analyst, highlighted that the altcoin season usually starts around 380 days after the Bitcoin (BTC) Halving event. The last Halving occurred in April 2024, which means the altcoin season could start as soon as May 2025.
Wimar.X also points out that altcoin seasonality often begins after Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a new record high, then enters a phase of stabilization or mild correction. During this period, Bitcoin’s (BTC.D) dominance tends to decline.
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Data from Coinglass shows that the second quarter (Q2) is typically one of the strongest quarters for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum . Specifically, Bitcoin (BTC) has delivered an average return of around 26.89% in Q2. Ethereum (ETH) has done even better, with an average return of 66.8%.
With Q2 2025 underway, this could be the perfect window for altcoins to peak. Given that altcoins often follow the trend of Ethereum (ETH), similar or higher returns can be expected.
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According to the Blockchain Center, the Altcoin Season Index dropped to the lowest point of the year, 13, just as Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new ATH. The index has risen slightly to 18 currently. The index measures the performance of the top 100 altcoins compared to Bitcoin (BTC) over the past 90 days. If 75% of them outperform Bitcoin (BTC), the market is considered to be in altcoin season.
Despite the generally optimistic outlook, recent declines suggest that altcoins are not yet leading the market. This raises an important question: will altcoin seasonality still follow historical patterns, or will investors need to wait longer before capital switches from Bitcoin (BTC) to altcoins?
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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