Can Cardano Reach $6.25 This Cycle? Check out the analysis (10/29/25)

Jakarta, Pintu News – According to an independent technical analysis known as Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy on X), Cardano’s weekly chart still shows a strong bullish trend. Using Fibonacci studies and longstanding channel analysis, there is a high probability that Cardano (ADA) could hit significant price targets in this cycle.

Cardano Technical Analysis

Charting Guy’s latest post on October 26 suggests that Cardano (ADA) will be fine as long as its uptrend continues to hold. This analysis is based on a multi-year ascending channel that has governed price movements since the bottom of the 2018-2019 cycle. This channel has a bottom rail that now passes through the $0.33 to $0.35 area, with a center line that has served as a recurring pivot since 2020.

This price structure relies heavily on Fibonacci ladders. The retracement set located on the right margin-which comes from the 2021 peak to the cycle low-marks 0% at $0.23488, then rises to $0.33360 (0.136), $0.43180 (0.236), and so on to $3.09981 (1.000). Above that, cycle extensions are charted at $6.25325 (1.272), $9.00941 (1.414), and $15.26831 (1.618).

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Cardano Price Increase Potential

On April 27, Charting Guy emphasized the importance of Fibonacci for Cardano (ADA), by pointing out that the 0.618 level is strong resistance and 0.382 should hold. This roadmap is still relevant and has proven accurate throughout time. After the rejection on September 18, the analyst updated that Cardano (ADA) has recorded a higher low and is still targeting the 1.272 extension in this cycle.

This price structure suggests that if Cardano (ADA) continues to maintain the uptrend defined by the bottom rail of the channel and, importantly, turns the 0.618 retracement at $1.15694 into support on the weekly close, then the path to higher retracement levels will reopen. These include $1.43911 at 0.702 and $1.78464 at 0.786, before facing the 0.888 marker at $2.32189.

Risk Management and Price Projections

The risk management aspect of this analysis is also very clear: if Cardano (ADA) loses support at $0.62932 on the weekly close, then the neutral to constructive view will be disrupted, shifting focus back to $0.43180 and $0.33360, with the zero point at $0.23488 defining the absolute limit of the cycle floor in the lower third of the channel.

Currently, Cardano (ADA) is trading in the middle of a channel with a higher low already confirmed and an unresolved range below the downtrend line supply. Triggers for future price movements remain clear and numerical. A sustained weekly close above $1.15694 will validate attempts towards $1.44, $1.78, and $2.32, with $3.10 as a full retracement before the extension math takes over.

Conclusion

Given all these factors, Cardano (ADA) still has the potential to reach $6.25 in this cycle, but only if the uptrend continues to hold and the key resistance at 0.618 is finally broken. Currently, with Cardano (ADA) price at $0.67, the opportunity to reach that target is still wide open.

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Reference

• NewsBTC. Can Cardano Still Hit $6.25 This Cycle?. Accessed on October 29, 2025