
Jakarta, Pintu News – The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar on Tuesday’s trading (23/6/2026) opened weaker at the level of Rp17,859 per US dollar, down 16 points or about 0.09% from the previous close. This weakening continues the trend that has been ongoing since the previous day, when the rupiah on Monday (22/6/2026) closed at Rp17,843 after falling 0.22% or 39 points. Various global and domestic sentiments continue to overshadow the movement of the Garuda currency today.
Based on TradingView data, at the opening of Tuesday morning’s trading, the rupiah was at Rp17,859 per US dollar with the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthening slightly to the 101.02 level. Within the intraday range, the estimated rupiah movement today is in the range of Rp17,840 to Rp17,890 per US dollar, in line with projections from several analysts.

In Asian markets, currency movements were observed to vary. The Japanese yen depreciated slightly by 0.01%, while the Indian rupee weakened more deeply at 0.37%. In contrast, the Malaysian ringgit actually strengthened by 0.31% and the Chinese yuan appreciated 0.03% against the US dollar, reflecting varied responses to the evolving global sentiment.
Currency and commodities observer Ibrahim Assuaibi explained that one of the main factors currently pressuring the rupiah is geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East, particularly tensions between the United States and Iran. US President Donald Trump warned of possible additional military action against Iran unless the Hezbollah group operating in Lebanon is brought under control.
Nevertheless, tensions eased slightly after US-Iran talks in Switzerland resulted in a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire for 60 days. Iran was also reportedly granted exemptions for oil and petrochemical exports, which pressured crude oil prices and reduced some market concerns related to global energy supply risks.
Read also: “Today’s Rupiah Exchange Rate, Monday June 22, 2026“
Beyond geopolitics, markets are now awaiting the US first quarter 2026 economic data and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which serves as the Federal Reserve’s primary reference in determining interest rate direction. The monetary policy of the US central bank under its new leadership is also a concern for global market participants, including investors in Indonesia’s foreign exchange market.

On the domestic side, rupiah movements are also influenced by a number of fundamental risks. Bank Indonesia (BI) projects that adjustments to non-subsidized fuel (BBM) prices, particularly the price increases of Pertamax and Pertamax Turbo, will contribute to an increase in national inflation. This pressure is known as imported inflation, namely the transmission of global commodity prices into domestic prices, which directly impacts the administered prices category.
Additionally, threats of extreme weather from the El Nino phenomenon are expected to hit Indonesia from late June through October or November 2026. This phenomenon has the potential to disrupt national food production and push pressure on the volatile food category, which could ultimately increase inflation more broadly and weaken public purchasing power.
Ibrahim Assuaibi estimates that the rupiah in Tuesday’s trading (23/6/2026) has the potential to close weaker again, with a movement range of Rp17,840 to Rp17,890 per US dollar. This projection takes into account a combination of external pressure from geopolitics and US economic data, as well as domestic risk factors in the form of inflation and potential weather disruptions.
Market participants and investors are advised to continue monitoring the development of US-Iran negotiations, the upcoming US PCE data release, as well as Bank Indonesia’s policies regarding rupiah exchange rate stabilization. BI has been actively intervening in the foreign exchange market to keep rupiah volatility within controllable limits.

Read also: “How to Buy Tether (USDT), Sell and Exchange It to Rupiah on Pintu“
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