Has Bitcoin (BTC) Reached Its Peak? Latest Cycle Analysis in April 2025!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Renowned crypto watcher, Tony “The Bull” Severino, recently shared an in-depth analysis of Bitcoin BTC->Current BTC PriceRp 0Market Cap-Trading Volume-Circulating Supply- price behavior via social media platform X. Using a cyclical approach that is recognized as important by many in the crypto community, both optimists and pessimists, Severino provides new insights into Bitcoin (BTC) market dynamics.

Bitcoin Cycle Analysis: From Opportunity Base to Risk Peak

Tony Severino begins his analysis with the industry-wide belief that Bitcoin (BTC) operates in a clear cycle, typically lasting around four years, which has a lot to do with the block reward halving cycle. His technical analysis is based on Bitcoin (BTC) cycle indicators on a monthly time chart that have been recorded since 2013.

According to the chart shown, Bitcoin (BTC) has gone through four clear cycles. These cycles, according to Severino, should be viewed from “bottom to bottom”. These bottoms represent the darkest moments in the market, but they also represent the points of maximum financial opportunity. As the cycles progress, Bitcoin (BTC) moves through periods of increasing optimism, eventually reaching what the analyst calls a “cyclical top”.

These peaks, marked in red on its chart, are periods where Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a point of maximum financial risk. This is reflected in the price action that follows, with the price of Bitcoin (BTC) peaking right after crossing each cyclical peak.

Also Read: Why is Bitcoin (BTC) Following the 2024 Summer Trend? Check out the Next Prediction!

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Correction and Recovery

Since February, Bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a correction and is currently down 20% from its high of $108,786. Bitcoin (BTC) price even dropped to $78,780 in the second week of March, sparking speculation as to whether the crypto has reached its peak price in this cycle. However, Bitcoin (BTC) may not be completely safe yet, as not all peaks are followed directly by market tops.

Severino pointed out that previous cycles have featured “right-translated” peaks, where Bitcoin (BTC) continued to rise slightly even after crossing the peak. The 2017 bull run was the most right-translated, with price action remaining strong for some time after crossing the peak’s red zone. In contrast, other cycles begin to reverse shortly after reaching this point of maximum risk.

Future Prospects of Bitcoin (BTC) in the Current Cycle

Based on Severino’s model, Bitcoin (BTC) appears to have crossed the red top, but this doesn’t yet confirm that the top has been reached. Instead, it shows that the margin of error is getting narrower. The longer Bitcoin (BTC) continues to correct after this point, the higher the risk of a bearish phase becomes.

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trying to regain bullish momentum, trading at $87,300 after gaining 3.6% in the last 24 hours. Many other analysts argue that Bitcoin (BTC) price could still reach higher territory this year before a definitive top is confirmed.

Conclusion

By understanding previous cycles and current dynamics, investors and market watchers can better navigate Bitcoin (BTC) price fluctuations. While market predictions always contain uncertainty, cyclical analysis as presented by Tony Severino provides a framework for forecasting key phases in the life of the Bitcoin (BTC) market.

Also Read: Lighter Tariff Hike Triggers Altcoin Surge: Solana, DOGE, and ADA Shine

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• NewsBTC. The Cyclicality of Bitcoin. Accessed on March 26, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by AI