XRP’s dream of reaching Rp48,900 is delayed! Analysts Say Bull Run Only Starts November 2025?

Updated

June 3, 2025

Gambar XRP’s dream of reaching Rp48,900 is delayed! Analysts Say Bull Run Only Starts November 2025?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The cryptocurrency community’s hopes of seeing Ripple touch the price of $3 or around Rp48,900 (at an exchange rate of Rp16,300/USD) in the near future seem to be put on hold.

According to analysis from Dr. Cat, a technical analyst known for his Ichimoku Cloud-based approach, the chances of XRP reaching the highest price before November 2025 are slim. Although market conditions are not completely bearish, technical data suggests that bullish momentum has failed to be capitalized on at the crucial time in May.

XRP Returns to Neutral Zone After Failed Breakout

Based on the daily chart analyzed by Dr Cat, XRP/USD is currently only moving flat in the range of $2.14-$2.17 (around Rp34,882-Rp35,371) after previously failing to break the resistance at the $2.35 level (Rp38,345). XRP had recorded a brief breakout above the Ichimoku (kumo) cloud in early May, but was unable to sustain it. The price closed twice inside the cloud again, indicating a loss of short-term momentum.

Some technical indicators further emphasize this neutral condition. The Tenkan-sen has curved downwards and is below the Kijun-sen, while the Chikou span (lagging line) is still trapped within historical candles-a situation that is far from ideal for an explosive uptrend. Dr Cat emphasized that in the Ichimoku system, bullish trends do not appear suddenly, but take time and a strong structure.

Also Read: Pi Network (PI) Token is Ready to Flood! What Happens If the Price Falls Below IDR6,500?

Realistic Target: New Breakout Opens in November

Dr. Cat projects that XRP needs at least one full cycle of 26 daily candles (about one month) to re-establish a valid bullish pattern. Even in the most optimistic scenario, a new breakout attempt may only happen in July or August. However, if momentum remains weak, the bullish trend shift could be delayed until November, when the XRP/BTC cloud becomes very thin and easy to break.

Indicators on lower time frames are even showing consistent selling pressure, with the XRP/BTC pair dropping to important support at 2041 satoshis. If this level is able to hold throughout the summer, then this area would be an ideal launching point towards the end of the year.

Downside Risk Still Lurks

While there is no definite sign that XRP will enter a bear market, there remains a risk of a downward correction. According to the weekly chart, the Tenkan-Kijun bear cross has not been resolved and the Ichimoku clouds are widening, indicating medium-term uncertainty. If the price is unable to hold above $2.13 (IDR34,719), then a potential drop to $1.89 (IDR30,807) or even $1.70 (IDR27,710) could occur in the near future.

Nevertheless, the monthly chart still shows a positive structure. This suggests that XRP’s long-term strength hasn’t disappeared completely, it’s just “asleep.” If the price can stay above the clouds until July, the opportunity to attempt a breakout above $2.40 (IDR39,120) could return.

Conclusion

XRP’s bullish predictions to $3 or higher may not materialize this June. However, that doesn’t mean the opportunity is lost forever. With resistance at key levels and enough time to rebuild the bullish structure, XRP could surprise the market later in the year. Until then, traders are advised to remain vigilant and not enter positions without solid technical confirmation.

Also Read: XRP is in Freefall! Is This a Sign of a Big Storm in the Crypto World?

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