Does BTC’s Mid-Cycle Reset Mark the Start of the Next Bull Run? Here’s the Analysis!

Jakarta, Pintu News – The Bitcoin market is undergoing significant dynamic changes, which may mark the beginning of the next price rise. Recent analysis suggests a major supply rotation, where short-term holders are starting to dominate while coins that have been dormant for a long time are making a comeback.

Supply Rotation: Structural Shifts in Bitcoin (BTC) Dynamics

Long-Term Holders (LTH) of Bitcoin (BTC) have seen their holdings decrease to 14.54 million BTC, hitting a monthly low. In contrast, Short-Term Holder (STH) supply increased to 2.4 million BTC, up 7.96% in the same period.

This change reflects a significant shift in Bitcoin (BTC) ownership that could affect the market price. This rotation coincides with Bitcoin’s (BTC) monthly closing increase of 8.04%, during which the price reached a new peak of $123,000.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) new address momentum also showed improvement, with the 30-day moving average (30D SMA) crossing the 365-day moving average (365D SMA) for the first time in months, signaling renewed on-chain expansion.

Also Read: Top 3 Crypto that Grew Up to 120% in the First Week of August, Got Your Token?

Bitcoin (BTC) Supply Map Refresh

Data from CryptoQuant confirms a significant structural rotation in the supply of long-dormant Bitcoin (BTC). In 2023, only around 59,000 BTC moved from long-dormant wallets. However, in 2024, this number jumped to 255,000 BTC, and 2025 already recorded 214,000 BTC despite there still being a few months left before the year ends.

The average transaction size also increased drastically, from 162 BTC to 1,011 BTC, indicating that these flows were not from retail investors, but rather high-conviction entities putting supply back into active circulation. In 2025, the average reactivated supply per month was 30.7K BTC, a six-fold increase from the previous year.

Early Indications of a New Cycle

The changes are not a symptom of late-cycle euphoria, but rather a sign of a mid-cycle structural reset. These conditions suggest that Bitcoin (BTC) is preparing to enter its next major bull phase. Long-dormant supply is back on the move, short-term holders are starting to dominate market share, and on-chain user growth is accelerating.

The conclusion of this phenomenon is that Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing a major change in its supply map in real time. This is not just a temporary change, but could be the beginning of a new market dynamic that will take Bitcoin (BTC) to higher price levels.

Conclusion

With all these indications, the Bitcoin (BTC) market seems to be gearing up for a significant growth phase. Investors and market watchers should take this dynamic as an early signal of a potential substantial price increase in the near future.

Also Read: Are These 3 Altcoins Likely to Print All-Time High in August 2025?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• AMB Crypto. Is Bitcoin’s Mid-Cycle Reset the Start of BTC’s Next Bull Run? Assessing. Accessed on August 6, 2025