Will Bitcoin (BTC) Surge in the Fourth Quarter? Check out the Analysis!

Updated

September 4, 2025

Gambar Will Bitcoin (BTC) Surge in the Fourth Quarter? Check out the Analysis!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin is again testing critical support zones, raising speculation as to whether September’s weakness will be a turning point. With historical patterns often showing a dip in September followed by a strong rally in the fourth quarter, the market is currently at a crucial moment that could determine the direction of its next move.

Bitcoin (BTC) Back on Track for Bull Market Support

Bitcoin made it to the bull market support band a couple of days before September began, but regardless here we are

This is where the bulls would like to hold the line.

August formed a local high, September will likely form a local low.

Note that September 1st was already a… https://t.co/qcUYXpQl2X pic.twitter.com/ooMbDDdziQ
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) September 2, 2025

Benjamin Cowen recently highlighted that Bitcoin (BTC) had touched a bull market support line days before September began. This level has historically served as an important pivot zone, where bulls often attempt to defend the broader market structure.

The strength to maintain a position above this band could play a vital role in maintaining bullish sentiment. In his latest update on the X platform, Cowen emphasized the importance of Bitcoin (BTC) to stay above its 20-week simple moving average (SMA) during September.

This has been a key indicator in previous bull cycles, including in 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021, where Bitcoin (BTC) managed to maintain this level before surging to a new peak in the fourth quarter.

Also Read: Ondo Finance could be a crypto dark horse in Q4 2025? Here are 4 ONDO facts to know!

Historical Cycle Points to Potential Upside in Fourth Quarter if Support Persists

Analysis by Benjamin Cowen reveals that the ideal scenario for Bitcoin (BTC) is to hold at the 20-week SMA level during September. In previous bull cycles, such as in 2013, 2017, 2020, and 2021, Bitcoin (BTC) managed to hold this level before rising to new highs in the fourth quarter, making it an important historical pattern to watch.

If Bitcoin (BTC) can maintain this support, there is a high probability of seeing significant gains in the following months. This is supported by historical data which shows that Bitcoin (BTC) often experiences price increases after a period of consolidation in September.

Conclusion

Taking into account analysis and historical data, Bitcoin (BTC) is on the verge of an opportunity to rally in the fourth quarter, provided it can maintain current critical support. Market watchers and investors will keep a close eye on key indicators to make informed investment decisions in the coming weeks and months.

Also Read: XRP or Bitcoin? 3 Facts from the Chart that Reveal the Truth

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This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.