Bitcoin Price Sinks to $109K Today, But Analysts See a Rebound Ahead Following Fed Trends

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin price is attracting attention again after Ted Pillows shared his views by comparing the current conditions with the situation when the Fed cut interest rates before.

In his post, he mentioned that the market may follow a similar pattern as last year, where initial weakness opens up opportunities for a broader recovery.

Then, how is the current Bitcoin price movement?

Bitcoin Price Drops 2.35% in 24 Hours

On September 26, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at $109,657, equivalent to IDR 1,847,419,542, marking a 2.35% decline over the past 24 hours. During this period, BTC dropped to a low of IDR 1,827,034,465 and climbed as high as IDR 1,891,786,959.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s market capitalization is estimated at around IDR 36,650 trillion, while its 24-hour trading volume has surged 50% to reach IDR 1,233 trillion.

Read also: Arthur Hayes and Brian Armstrong Confidently Predict Bitcoin Will Surpass $1 Million

Bitcoin Price Faces Rally and Dump Pattern after Fed Rate Cut

One analyst recalled how BTC prices reacted to the Fed’s rate cut in 2024, where an initial drop paved the way for a major rally. He emphasized that Bitcoin at that time followed a pattern of brief declines before surging to new levels, a sequence that could potentially repeat itself.

Interestingly, the expert thinks that the current market structure has clear similarities, and this time the setup could even be stronger. As of September 25, Bitcoin price is trading at $111,101, just above an important support zone.

According to Pillows, these conditions reflect the backdrop that previously fueled a 58% rally from levels around $93,000 last year. Meanwhile, he continues to see Bitcoin’s long-term outlook as bullish, although short-term volatility might trigger a temporary correction.

The analysis relates past reactions to the current chart as a reference for the next move.

Why Short-Term Declines Can Precede Rallies

The analyst explained that institutional demand for BTC is starting to decline, with most capital shifting to gold as investors seek stability. On the other hand, technical indicators also reinforce his view, with the DMI showing bearish signals that support a projected decline of around 11%.

Read also: Michael Saylor Predicts Bitcoin Will Outpace Gold Tenfold — Here’s His Outlook

Bitcoin’s price structure is also seen weakening on the daily chart, with sellers gaining a short-term edge. Currently, the market is moving closer to the support zone which, if broken, could trigger further downward pressure.

The FOMC’s latest decision to cut rates by 25 bps further lends weight to its projections, given the previous pattern where rate cuts triggered sharp price movements.

However, big players have historically taken advantage of dips like this as entry points, and Pillows expects similar behavior to repeat itself.

Thus, a sharp rally remains possible once fear sentiment peaks and market positions are absorbed. This dynamic supports the view that any dips could actually fuel a recovery of around 55% towards the $162,000 level.

In short, this analyst’s projection combines both caution and optimism, with the forecast that BTC prices may stumble before eventually rising. Technical signals reinforce the short-term bearish view, while historical reactions to rate cuts favor a bullish recovery scenario.

Investors can see this potential 11% drop as part of a larger pattern, not a sign of a collapse – in fact, an ideal opportunity to enter before the next rally.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coingape. Bitcoin Price Could Crash to $104K Before Explosive Rally- Analyst Highlights Post Fed Cut Pattern. Accessed on September 26, 2025