Will Bitcoin experience a slump like last April? This is what analysts say!

Updated

November 11, 2025

Gambar Will Bitcoin experience a slump like last April? This is what analysts say!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin recently experienced a sharp drop below $100,000, sparking fears of a deep bearish phase. The crypto market, which was previously in a bullish state, now seems to be changing direction after the October 10 crash. This evokes memories of a similar drop in April, where Bitcoin (BTC) briefly fell to $74,500 before bouncing back.

Similarities with April: Will History Repeat?

The Fear and Greed Crypto Index on November 10 stood at 29, and had dropped to 20 a few days earlier, a number last seen in mid-April. In early 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading in a stable range, but lost that range in March, causing a significant price drop.

In recent months, a similar trading pattern was seen, where Bitcoin (BTC) again lost its range. When referring to previous market dynamics, it is likely that the market will experience a month-long bearish period before a potential recovery takes place. However, keep in mind that despite the similarities, there is no guarantee that the situation will repeat itself with certainty.

Other Market Base Potential

The Unrealized Profit/Loss Margin shows that holders are currently incurring losses, but not as severe as what happened in March and April. Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading well below its realized price of $115,100. If the same scenario as April occurs, it suggests that the current downtrend Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing could fall even lower than $98,900.

The similarities in market sentiment, price action, and unrealized losses by holders indicate the potential for a market bottom similar to the one in March and April. Nonetheless, it is important to remain vigilant and not assume that history is bound to repeat itself.

A Bull Cycle That Hasn’t Reached Peak Euphoria

The Power Law model shows that the recent rise in the bull cycle has not yet reached the explosive rally that usually marks the end of the previous cycle. The phase known as the blow-off peak, which is a phase of pure market euphoria, is yet to be seen. Perhaps conditions are different this time, and that phase will not occur.

Or perhaps, the macro picture needs more time to align and push crypto to higher levels. Right now, both possibilities seem equally likely, which explains the fear and uncertainty present in the market.

Be Alert and Ready for Any Possibilities

With current market conditions looking similar to last April, investors and market watchers should remain vigilant. Despite the significant similarities, crypto markets are known for their high volatility and do not always follow historical patterns exactly. Therefore, it is important to prepare for any eventuality, be it a recovery or further decline.

Also Read: Bitcoin Poised to Surge After US Government Shutdown Deal: History Repeats?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.