
Jakarta, Pintu News – Every time the crypto market has experienced a major bull run since 2017, it is usually accompanied by altcoin season, where altcoin prices spike aggressively.
The year 2025 is almost over, but the much-anticipated altcoin season has yet to appear, despite high expectations. Mentions of altseason on social media have increased dramatically this week, but many traders and analysts are still not convinced.
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With only one month left in 2025, the chances of an altcoin season seem low. Although it hasn’t happened yet this year, some analysts believe that 2026 could be the time when the real altseason starts.
But before we go any further, let’s review some of the reasons why altseason didn’t happen this year. The failure of altcoin season in 2025 is most likely due to poor timing.
The last peak of altcoin season expectations occurred in August, when Bitcoin’s dominance had fallen sharply in the previous few weeks, which fueled hopes for the start of the altseason.

Unfortunately, market conditions turned bearish as the issue of tariff wars resurfaced in August. At the same time, there was a massive liquidity withdrawal that led to a sell-off, so sentiment towards altcoins plummeted.
Even so, some altcoins still showed strong demand in the third quarter, which briefly gave hope that the altseason would occur.
As mentioned earlier, discussions about altseason have increased over the past 7 days. This suggests that investors are again seeing the potential for an altcoin season rally.
One of the factors driving such expectations is the altcoin to Bitcoin comparison chart.

The chart shows that altcoin prices are currently near the lowest support levels in recent years.
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Previous altcoin rallies have also started from similar levels, so there is a high probability that a similar pattern could be repeated. The same chart also shows a rising upper limit – an area where previous altcoin seasons usually end.
The current price of altcoins is still quite far from that point, which indicates that investors may see altcoins as an attractive asset, especially after the recent price drops.
The altcoin season index also shows that the current market is still favoring Bitcoin. However, this could signal a good time for altcoins, especially as market conditions begin to recover.

While the chart confirms that the altcoin season hasn’t really started yet, this situation could mark the right moment as the market attempts to recover.
The altcoin season indicator was at 35 at the time of observation, indicating that market conditions were still neutral. Altseason is said to be in full swing when it breaks above the 75 level.
Historically, the altcoin season usually begins when Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 60%. The BTC dominance chart mostly shows a downward trend during the month of November.
However, in the last five days, the dominance has slightly increased, although it was still below 60% at the time of observation.
Investors should also watch for altcoin accumulation activity by large holders, including whales. This is important because “smart money” usually moves first before large trading volumes kick in.
Another strong sign is when some major altcoins start outperforming Bitcoin in important metrics. For example, Ethereum could be registering higher trading volumes and fund inflows into ETFs than Bitcoin.
There is one other major trigger that the market is currently waiting for. The change in liquidity conditions due to interest rate cuts and the end of quantitative tightening policies could trigger risk-on sentiment to the max.
If this scenario occurs, the altcoin market could potentially benefit greatly from the incoming liquidity flow.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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