December on Fire: Price Outlook for SHIB, XRP, BTC, Ready to Rally End of 2025?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market in early December is reminiscent of late 2021, where crypto markets took a dive before equity markets realized it. However, there is a significant difference in the US monetary policy which is now looser, and inflation which has started to slow down.

Nonetheless, prices in the market seem to have priced in the entire upcoming policy cycle, making market sentiment fragile and any price increases look temporary.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) in December

Earlier this week, the optimism towards Shiba Inu (SHIB) was undeniable. The meme coin increased by about 12% in the past two weeks, and the structure seemed adequate for it to continue. However, the weekend brought surprises, and almost all the price gains were erased in two days, returning to the $0.0000084 level, where the bullish talk started at the beginning of the month.

SHIB’s price history does not give much credence, as December 2023 was the only December in which this meme coin experienced a significant spike. The market trades as if the easing phase is already fully priced in, which shortens the cycle and reduces patience in speculative trading.

So, the rational answer to the question of whether SHIB should be kept or sold at this time is that there is no obvious reason to keep it, unless Bitcoin (BTC) shows strength.

Also Read: 5 Important Facts from Bitcoin’s (BTC) Latest Prediction: US$125,000 Target?

XRP (Ripple) Maintains $2 Price Base

While the crypto market is moving without a steady rhythm, XRP (Ripple) is showing a controlled version of chaos. Despite posting the weakest weekly performance among the top 10 with a 7.24% drop, the token managed to maintain a price base of $2. This is more important than the weekly candle color as the entire market is moving in a macro backdrop where expectations dominate actual policies.

The fact that XRP did not lose $2 despite being under weekly pressure is a sign of positions that still choose defense over capitulation. If these levels continue to hold, any increase in Bitcoin price will quickly affect XRP. However, if this level is lost, sentiment could drastically reset.

Bitcoin (BTC) Decides the Fate of Santa Claus Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) is at a tipping point for market direction in December. The daily Bollinger middle band is just above, and BTC is still below it, pressuring but not yet reversing. If Bitcoin can reclaim and close the weekly candle above it, the path to $94,300 is open.

However, if it fails, the market will shift to the $84,400 target, and December will be more about damage control than a seasonal rally. This dynamic is also closely tied to signals from equity markets. If the S&P 500 rejects here, Bitcoin doesn’t need much to do the same, especially with the price already below its middle band.

Crypto Market Outlook

The question of whether a bear market has begun resurfaces as the crash in 2025 is similar to 2021, with crypto breaking out earlier than equities while the speed of the cycle accelerates and prices as if the entire easing path is already priced in.

The next Fed meeting risks delivering a cold shock that resets expectations after over-inflated valuations and a compressed phase pushed markets ahead of policy reality.

Also Read: 10 Ways to Learn Crypto from Zero: Basic Guide to Start Investing Safely

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FAQ

What were the main causes of crypto market volatility in early December?

According to market analysts, volatility is triggered by fragile macro conditions as the market has already factored in the entire US monetary easing cycle. This makes any price increases temporary and sensitive to changes in sentiment.

Why did the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) drop again after rising at the beginning of the month?

SHIB was up about 12% in two weeks, but a sharp drop at the weekend wiped out all the gains and brought the price back to $0.0000084. This movement reflects the market’s weak confidence in speculative assets, unless Bitcoin (BTC) shows strength.

Is there a compelling reason to keep SHIB in December?

Based on the analysis, there is no clear fundamental reason to hold SHIB unless BTC starts to show strong bullish momentum. The shortening speculative cycle makes trading meme coins increasingly risky.

Why is the $2 level important for XRP right now?

XRP managed to maintain a price of $2 despite recording a weekly decline of 7.24%, showing resilience in volatile market conditions. If this level holds, XRP could respond positively if BTC strengthens; otherwise, sentiment could be drastically reset.

What are the key determinants for a potential Bitcoin (BTC) rally later in the year?

The main factor was BTC’s ability to close the weekly candle above the daily Bollinger middle band. Success paves the way to $94,300, while failure pushes the market to the $84,400 target.

How do equity markets relate to Bitcoin’s movements in December?

If stock indices like the S&P 500 experience rejection at resistance levels, BTC is likely to follow a similar pattern due to its sensitivity to global risk sentiment. BTC’s price being below the middle Bollinger band reinforces the potential for a negative reaction to equity market pressures.

Are we seeing the first signs of a bear market?

Some indicators point to a similar pattern in 2021, when crypto crashed earlier than equities and the price movement cycle was faster. The market seems to have baked all easing expectations into the price making it vulnerable to policy surprises.

Why is the next Fed meeting considered risky for crypto markets?

High market valuations and a compressed price cycle may clash with the Fed’s decision if policy falls short of expectations. A hawkish surprise could reset sentiment and exacerbate pressure on the crypto market.

Reference

• U.Today. Morning Crypto Report: Is Shiba Inu (SHIB) a Coin to Hold in December? XRP Refuses to Lose 2% Amid. Accessed on December 8, 2025