Predicted Breakthroughs from the December 2025 FOMC Meeting: What Can We Expect?

Updated

December 9, 2025

Gambar Predicted Breakthroughs from the December 2025 FOMC Meeting: What Can We Expect?

Jakarta, Pintu News – At the upcoming last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2025, the market is looking forward to a possible interest rate cut that could steer risk sentiment into early 2026.

FOMC Meeting Agenda and Schedule December 2025

The Federal Reserve’s last monetary policy meeting of 2025 is scheduled for December 9-10. This is the eighth FOMC meeting this year, which will review employment data, inflation trends, economic conditions, and potential interest rate changes. December 9 will be used for internal discussions, while December 10 will be filled with public announcements.

The policy statement is scheduled for 14:00 ET, followed by a press conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell at 14:30 ET. Minutes from the meeting will be released three weeks later, on January 8, 2026.

Interest Rate Decision and Economic Outlook

Currently, the market estimates an 87% probability that the FOMC will cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, which would lower it to a range of 3.50%-3.75%. The rate is currently at a range of 3.75%-4.00%, after the last cut in October. However, committee members are still divided.

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Some expressed caution due to conflicting inflation data and strong GDP growth. Analysts will pay close attention to the updated dot plot as this may indicate further easing in 2026. If inflation continues to decline, an additional cut of 50 basis points is possible.

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Impact on Crypto Market

The crypto market is highly sensitive to the Fed’s decision. Lower interest rates and higher liquidity usually encourage risk-taking, pushing money into Bitcoin , Ethereum , and other altcoins.

Experts believe that a 25-point interest rate cut might boost the crypto market. If history is any guide, Bitcoin could rise to the $95,000 to $100,000 range, with Ethereum (ETH) and Solana likely to follow a similar path.

Conclusion

Whatever happens on December 10, whether it triggers a year-end rally or a brief drawdown, the impact will likely affect risk assets and market sentiment until the start of the new year.

FAQ

When is the final FOMC meeting of 2025 scheduled?

The meeting is set for December 9–10, with the policy announcement on December 10 at 2:00 p.m. ET.

What is the probability of an interest rate cut in the December meeting?

Markets currently estimate an 87% probability of a 25-basis-point cut, bringing rates to the 3.50%–3.75% range.

Why are FOMC members divided on the rate-cut decision?

Conflicting inflation data and strong GDP growth have created differing views on whether further easing is necessary.

How could the decision impact the crypto market?

A rate cut typically boosts liquidity and appetite for risk assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL).

What is the potential movement for Bitcoin if rates are cut?

Historically, Bitcoin has the potential to climb toward the US$95,000–US$100,000 range if risk sentiment improves.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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