Monero Price Prediction: Why is $400 Critical Support?

Updated

December 20, 2025

Gambar Monero Price Prediction: Why is $400 Critical Support?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Monero (XMR) saw a decline of 4.09% over the weekend, after facing rejection at the $420 resistance. This decline stems from the $418 resistance level that has been in focus for the past six weeks. This analysis will dig deeper into Monero’s recent market dynamics and what traders can expect going forward.

Monero Bearish Divergence

On the weekly chart, Monero shows a bullish swing structure, but the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows a bearish divergence with the price action over the past seven months. The OBV registering lower highs signals that Monero’s price rise may not be supported by strong demand, which could be an unsustainable trend.

On the 4-hour chart, although the structure is still bullish, the technical indicators are starting to show changes. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped below 50, signaling a momentum shift to bearish. The OBV also dropped below last week’s low, highlighting an increase in selling pressure.

Also Read: Ethereum Headed to $5,000: Investment Opportunities Ahead of 2026!

The Bullish Case for Monero

Despite the bearish indications, there is still room for recovery. A drop to the psychological level of $400, followed by Bitcoin’s rise back above $90,000, could boost short-term confidence. This suggests that despite the pressure, the opportunity for a rebound is still open if market conditions are favorable.

Traders who are already long may want to consider taking profits. The rejection at $420 confirms that there is not enough bullish strength to push the price to $450, which should set the conditions for a sustained uptrend.

Actions Traders Can Take

With the evidence at hand, it is likely that the price will drop below $400. However, it is not yet clear how deep the drop will be. For now, the obvious support levels are $395, $380, and the $360 demand zone. Traders are advised to wait for Bitcoin to climb back above $94,000 before considering going long. This will provide more certainty in these volatile market conditions.

Conclusion

In the face of crypto market volatility, it is important for investors and traders to constantly monitor market indicators and trends. Monero, with its current dynamics, offers an important lesson on how market sentiment and technical indicators can influence investment decisions.

Also Read: Bitcoin Stuck Below $94,000: When Will Price Recovery Happen?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

FAQ

Q1: What is Monero (XMR)?

A1: Monero (XMR) is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency, allowing for untraceable and anonymous transactions.

Q2: Why is the $400 level important for Monero?

A2: The $400 level is considered critical support as it acts as a psychological boundary which, if broken, could trigger further price declines.

Q3: What is a bearish divergence on the OBV?

A3: A bearish divergence on the OBV occurs when the price of an asset increases but the volume recorded by the OBV decreases, indicating a decrease in interest or strength behind the price trend.

Q4: How does Bitcoin (BTC) affect Monero (XMR)?

A4: Bitcoin (BTC) price increases often have a positive impact on the overall crypto market, including Monero, as they boost investor confidence and trigger capital flows into other assets.

Q5: What is the advice for current Monero traders?

A5: Traders are advised to watch market indicators and possibly take profits from existing long positions, as well as wait for more stable market conditions before taking new positions.