
Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market may see a significant upswing in 2026, with central bank policy changes as the main catalyst. Macro factors such as liquidity, interest rates, and economic growth are becoming more important than the cycle of cutting block rewards commonly called “halving”.
The four-year cycle that has been a guide for Bitcoin traders seems to be getting obsolete. According to Eckel analysts, it’s not block reward cuts that drive the market, but rather favorable economic conditions. Without liquidity and economic growth, the price cycle loses its power as a predictor.
For over a decade, this cycle has led the market to peak one year after each halving. However, Eckel argues that macroeconomic factors have a greater influence than the halving itself.
The recent weak economic performance has limited the demand for risky assets like crypto. Stagnant business activity creates an unfavorable environment for a strong and sustained rally. This has been one of the main reasons why the crypto market has struggled.
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Eckel points out that the last few years have been unusual with very flat economic growth. This makes it difficult for strong and sustainable price increases to occur in the crypto market.
Every major spike in the crypto market, including the early years of Bitcoin (BTC) and the huge rally after COVID-19, happened after massive liquidity injections by central banks. When money is easy to come by, risky assets tend to flourish. However, this changes when central banks embark on the fastest interest rate hike cycle in decades.
According to Eckel, this tightening phase is now largely over. With the cessation of interest rate hikes and the start of easing, financial conditions are starting to change. This marks a transition that could set the stage for a stronger crypto market, especially for altcoins, starting in 2026.
With the end of interest rate hikes and the start of policy easing, 2026 is predicted to be the start of a massive rally in the crypto market. If liquidity increases and economic activity improves, the market may witness the kind of broad-based gains that many anticipated earlier.
After a long and challenging period, the message is clear: the next big chapter in the crypto market is still ahead, and patience will be rewarded.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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