3 Key Catalysts of 2026 Crypto Market

Updated

December 31, 2025

Gambar 3 Key Catalysts of 2026 Crypto Market

Jakarta, Pintu News – After a rough 2025 erased more than $1.2 trillion from the crypto market, investors are now looking to 2026 as a watershed year-a year that could either herald an industry recovery or deepen what many consider to be the worst downturn since the last major cycle.

CLARITY Act as a Key Catalyst

One of the main catalysts for the crypto market will be regulation, specifically the CLARITY Act being discussed in the Senate. This bill, which has already passed in the House of Representatives, aims to provide greater certainty in the crypto industry by allocating responsibilities between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

If passed, this would be the second major bill by the current Congress after the GENIUS Act, which focused on regulating the stablecoin industry that is now worth over $308 billion. In addition to CLARITY, the SEC under Paul Atkins has promised to be more welcoming to the crypto industry. Indeed, in January, the agency will grant the industry exemptions to launch products without following the full regulatory process.

Retirement Account Investment in Crypto

Another potential catalyst for the crypto market would be the approval of employer-sponsored plans to invest in crypto and other personal assets, such as personal equity and credit. President Donald Trump has proposed this, and it is likely to become a reality by 2026. This move would be bullish for the crypto market as it would open up trillions of dollars that could flow into the industry.

Another policy that may be bullish is the proposed tariff dividend, which will distribute checks to American citizens. In addition, Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have promised to offer the biggest tax refund to Americans. These policies will increase demand for risky assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies, thereby boosting their prices over time.

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut

Another potential catalyst for a crypto market rally in 2026 would be action by the Federal Reserve. The initial catalyst would be Trump’s appointment of a Fed chairman. Trump has indicated that he will appoint a Federal Reserve official who will be comfortable with cutting interest rates to 1%. Such a Fed chair will be different from Jerome Powell, who has shown his independence.

Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates several times by 2026, a move that would push the US M2 money supply well above the current $22 trillion. Bitcoin and other altcoins often perform well when M2 money supply is on the rise.

Conclusion

While technical analysis suggests that the crypto market still has room for further declines next year, the fundamentals outlined here should be able to overcome such bearish chart patterns to prevent a crypto market crash. Investors and market watchers should pay close attention to these developments to make informed investment decisions.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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