XAU/USD Analysis and Prediction Today, January 13, 2026: Bullish Continues Awaiting CPI
Jakarta, Pintu News – Gold price movement against the US dollar (XAU/USD) on January 13, 2026 still shows strong bullish tendencies in the daily technical structure, but market momentum is now waiting for the release of important inflation data from the United States which has the potential to confirm further trend direction. XAU/USD is trading around the high area after the last rally, while the risk of a moderate correction remains if macro data strengthens the US dollar.
Current Technical Conditions of XAU/USD
On the daily chart, XAU/USD is holding above its short-to-long term simple moving average (SMA), reflecting the buyers’ dominance in the current price trend. The 21-day SMA is above the 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs, signaling the uptrend is still intact and the price is in a medium-term bullish structure. However, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is in the overbought area which could signal a price pause or a moderate correction in the short term before a continued uptrend.
The key dynamic support lies around the 21-day SMA level, which if maintained should help sustain the upward bias. This technical scenario suggests that any pullback is likely to be shallow and opens up opportunities for an upside continuation above the current high.
Also Read: Shocking Prediction: XRP Poised for a Surge Post Last Drop!
Fundamental Sentiments and External Factors
Market sentiment towards gold remains supported by heightened geopolitical risks and lingering expectations of future US interest rate cuts, which tend to favor safe-haven assets like gold. However, ahead of the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, market participants are taking a cautious position and profit-taking after the price rally to the latest record. The response to the CPI data could potentially be the main catalyst in moving the price of XAU/USD further.
This fundamental condition reflects the balance between strong safe-haven demand and the strength of the US dollar which could regain strength if economic data shows higher than expected inflation. These conditions could weaken gold in the short term although the medium-term trend remains bullish.
XAU/USD Price Prediction Today
Based on the ongoing technical structure and fundamental factors, today’s XAU/USD prediction is likely to show a moderate bullish bias. Gold prices are expected to stay above the key support level and attempt to maintain a position above the current price area, especially if the buyers’ support remains strong. However, volatility around headline CPI data could trigger significant intraday moves.
A possible optimistic scenario is the continuation of the uptrend with a test of new psychological levels if the inflation data encourages gold buyers. On the contrary, if the US inflation report shows an increase that could prolong high interest rate expectations, XAU/USD could see a correction towards the technical support area before buyers step back in.
Advanced Risks and Dynamics
Potential risks to gold prices remain from the strength of the US dollar, the Fed’s monetary policy direction, and other macroeconomic data such as employment figures. Sharp fluctuations in macro indicators could alter market expectations for interest rates and thus impact XAU/USD. In addition, geopolitical volatility and global risk sentiment will also continue to play a role in gold’s movement.
Investors and market players are advised to keep an eye on key technical levels and economic data developments that trigger fundamentals in today’s trading session to anticipate clearer price direction.
Also Read: US Dollar Predicted to Plummet in Early 2026 Before Reversing Direction
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This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
Reference:
FXStreet. Gold Forecast, News and Analysis (XAU/USD). Accessed January 13, 2026.
