XRP Price Prediction: Break-Even Signal Emerges as the Market Enters a Reset Phase

Updated

February 13, 2026

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ChatGPT Perplexity

Summarize

ChatGPT Perplexity

Gambar XRP Price Prediction: Break-Even Signal Emerges as the Market Enters a Reset Phase

Jakarta, Pintu News – XRP is under the spotlight again after on-chain data indicated a possible turning point in market sentiment and positioning.

The “XRP Update” report shows that the 30-day EMA of XRP’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is starting to fall near the crucial 1.0 level, which is widely seen as a psychological and structural “reset” point, where profit-taking and loss-taking activities tend to balance out.

XRP SOPR Reset Signals Easing of Selling Pressure

Ripple’s on-chain SOPR (30D EMA) is back near the key 1.0 level.

A sign that recent selling is happening closer to break even, not heavy profit-taking.

Historically, this “reset zone” often marks cooling pressure and the start of base building before the next trend move.📊 $XRP pic.twitter.com/z77j9tOIil
— XRP Update (@XrpUdate) February 10, 2026

SOPR itself measures whether coins moving on the network are being sold at a profit or loss compared to their purchase price. Values above 1.0 indicate that the majority of market participants are taking profits, while values below 1.0 mean that many are selling at a loss.

When the SOPR is around 1.0, it indicates that the coin is changing hands at its cost basis, which means the market is breaking even and is often a key moment for determining the next trend direction.

Interestingly, XRP’s return to this area is seen as a change in market behavior. Instead of the dominance of massive profit-taking that usually triggers sustained selling pressure, many traders now appear to be closing positions near breakeven.

This suggests a “shakeout” of weaker market participants, rather than the overly euphoric and overbought market conditions that often appear at local peaks.

XRP SOPR Reset Hints at Market Rebalancing and Potential Base-Building Phase

Historically, SOPR resets usually come after periods of sharp volatility and signal a “cooling-off” phase when the market begins to rebalance.

During this phase, excessive speculation is suppressed, coin supply tends to shift to long-term holders, and prices often stabilize within a range. This process is often referred to by analysts as “base building” and can be the foundation before a clearer trend is established.

While a reset does not automatically guarantee an immediate price rally, it can strengthen the market structure. With fewer holders holding large amounts of unrealized gains, selling pressure is usually reduced. As a result, downside risks are reduced and prices become more responsive to new catalysts such as regulatory clarity, ecosystem developments, or general positive momentum in the crypto market.

According to CoinCodex, XRP was trading around $1.38 on February 12, 2026, close to a psychologically important level. The on-chain signal indicates a market reset, not an overheating condition.

Strong support, rising SOPR, and healthy volume could be signs of a base-building phase, as well as early clues as to whether XRP will enter a longer consolidation phase or prepare for the next big move.

Conclusion

XRP’s return to the SOPR 1.0 threshold signals a market reset, with more selling activity occurring in the breakeven range than aggressive profit-taking. Historically, this zone often coincides with the easing of selling pressure and the beginning of a consolidation phase, potentially paving the way for healthier price action.

As such, monitoring on-chain metrics and key support areas around $1.38 could provide early signals as to whether XRP is entering a stabilization phase or preparing to form the next big trend.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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