US stocks fall 1.5%, oil $75→$72, gold $5,400, bitcoin (BTC) holds at $66,000

Updated
March 3, 2026
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Gambar US stocks fall 1.5%, oil $75→$72, gold $5,400, bitcoin (BTC) holds at $66,000

Jakarta, Pintu News – Geopolitical tensions between the United States, Israel and Iran sparked volatility across assets at the start of the week. US stocks fell, oil and gold briefly surged and then corrected, while crypto and cryptocurrency markets showed different dynamics with Bitcoin remaining relatively resilient. Here’s an educational summary based on relevant price levels and indicators for you to monitor.

1. US Stocks Correct, Volatility Rises

US index futures were lower in pre-market, with the Nasdaq 100 (represented by the Invesco QQQ ETF) falling up to 1.5% before paring some of the losses. The VIX’s rise of more than 10% reflected a surge in uncertainty and investors’ preference for short-term hedges. The strengthening of the US dollar (DXY) to around 98.2 also indicated flows into assets perceived as safer.

The initial correction usually reflects a repricing of geopolitical risks, not necessarily a change in long-term fundamentals. When the direction of escalation is unclear, markets tend to reduce exposure to risky assets first. You need to read these movements as a quick response to news, which could change if the situation eases.

Also Read: 5 Important Things About Gold Bullion, the Most Solid Safe Haven Instrument Other Than Crypto!

2. Oil: Jumps to $75 (Rp1.26 Million), Then Drops Below $72 (Rp1.21 Million)

world oil prices
Source: Marine Link

WTI crude oil briefly touched $75 per barrel (≈ IDR 1,264,575) before returning below $72 (≈ IDR 1,213,992), although still up around 8% in 24 hours. These sharp movements emphasize the sensitivity of energy markets to potential supply disruptions in the Middle East. In phases like this, intraday volatility can be high although the trend may not necessarily change permanently.

Rapidly reversing price levels often signal the market is rebalancing the probability of escalation. If supply risks are considered limited, prices are likely to partially correct the initial spike. But if there are new developments, the $75 area could be tested again.

3. Gold: Touches $5,400 ($91.05), Near $5,600 ($94.42)

buy gold bar
Source: Dr. Wealth

Gold surged more than 2% to around $5,400 per ounce (≈ Rp91,049,400) before correcting from its peak. The nearest record is said to be around $5,600 (≈ IDR94,421,600), making this area a psychological reference point for the market. The initial rally showed that safe haven demand increased as risk-off strengthened.

Corrections after spikes are often due to short-term profit-taking. Nevertheless, gold remains a barometer of global uncertainty. You can monitor whether the price holds above the intraday support area to assess the strength of the defensive trend.

4. Bitcoin (BTC) Stands at $66,000 (Rp1.11 Billion)

Amid the stock squeeze, Bitcoin (BTC) held above $66,000 (≈ Rp1,112,826,000) and even recorded a gain of around 1% daily. This is interesting because BTC is often correlated with tech stocks, but this time it shows a short-term divergence. In the crypto ecosystem, price resilience amid risk-off could trigger a “digital gold” narrative, although correlations can change quickly.

However, keep in mind that daily stability does not guarantee the next direction. Fund flows and global sentiment still affect cryptocurrencies significantly. You should monitor BTC’s volume and reaction at nearby resistance areas to read momentum continuation.

5. Crypto-Related Stocks: Deeper Pressure

Several crypto-related stocks registered weakness: Coinbase (COIN) was down about 2%, Bullish (BLSH) about 4%, as well as miners like Cipher Digital (CIFR) and IREN (IREN) about 3% each. MicroStrategy (MSTR) was relatively stable, reflecting the differentiation in market response to its business model and BTC exposure. This divergence shows that crypto stocks do not always move uniformly with the price of their digital assets.

In phases of uncertainty, investors often reduce positions in riskier equities first. Therefore, even if BTC stabilizes, crypto stocks can remain under pressure. You need to distinguish between equity market risk and cryptocurrency spot price dynamics.

6. What do you need to look at next?

Current cross-asset volatility is fueled more by geopolitical sentiment than new macro data. If the escalation subsides, oil and gold could potentially correct further, while stocks and crypto could recover gradually. Conversely, if tensions escalate, key levels such as $75 in oil, $5,600 in gold, and $66,000 in Bitcoin will be tested again.

A rational approach is to map out scenarios and manage risks, not react impulsively to headlines. In an interconnected global market, a rapid shift from risk-on to risk-off can happen in a matter of hours.

Also Read: 5 Advantages of Pegadaian Gold Deposit

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash beforeinvesting. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin (BTC) and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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