US CPI Countdown: Is Bitcoin About to Shatter Its All-Time High?

Updated

August 12, 2025

Gambar US CPI Countdown: Is Bitcoin About to Shatter Its All-Time High?

Jakarta, Pintu News – As of August 11, 2025, the price of BTC had risen 3.6% in the last 24 hours, breaking through the $122,000 level and aiming for new record highs ahead of the release of US CPI and PPI data this week.

With 2025 being the post-halving period, market analysts expect a strong rally in August and the fourth quarter of this year, as per historical trends.

Macro economists are also predicting July inflation to rise, triggered by the impact of Trump’s tariffs. This makes BTC increasingly seen as a hedge asset amidst an inflationary market situation.

Bitcoin Shows Strength amid Inflation Concerns ahead of US CPI Data Release

Bitcoin formed a strong green candle with a gain of over 3.5% in the last 24 hours (Aug 11), eyeing a breakout from the previous record high of $123,000.

This surge comes after BTC had consolidated below $115,000 for a week, before the bulls regained control of the market. With the golden cross pattern reappearing on the charts, analysts are optimistic that the price could break $130,000 or more.

Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen says, based on historical trends, BTC is likely to close August with gains. With two weeks left and important inflation data to be released, Bitcoin investors are expected to be on full alert.

#BTC still looking to close August green, in line with all prior post-halving years. Still a few weeks to go of course. https://t.co/y2qTBxKg5q pic.twitter.com/7hEMMBDUx8
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) August 11, 2025

Cowen also highlighted a recurring pattern in BTC prices in the post-halving year-historically, prices tend to rise in July and August, followed by a potential correction in September, then a new cycle peak in the fourth quarter.

The on-chain data also shows strength in terms of new address growth. According to analyst Ali Martinez, 364,126 new BTC addresses are created every day, the highest number in the past year.

364,126 new Bitcoin $BTC addresses created daily, the highest in a year! pic.twitter.com/GJTzrT3Yo9
— Ali (@ali_charts) August 11, 2025

Meanwhile, the price of BTC is currently experiencing a correction after breaking $122,000 today. Some analysts say this decline was triggered by the CME Gap created during the weekend rally, precisely in the range of $118,300-$119,000.

Titan of Crypto analysts predict BTC could test the zone again before resuming its uptrend.

#Bitcoin CME Futures GAP

Gap spotted at $118,300 – $119,000 #BTC could revisit this zone before resuming its journey to the 🌕 pic.twitter.com/r5gFh9LzyC
— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) August 11, 2025

US CPI and PPI Data in the Spotlight amid Inflationary Pressure Expected to Continue

According to market projections, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July is expected to rise by 0.3%, indicating that inflationary pressures will continue. Trump-era import tariff hikes are starting to affect the prices of consumer goods, including home furnishings and recreational equipment.

With revised US employment data and uncertainty over the strength of the labor market, many companies are now looking for ways to reduce the tariff burden on price-sensitive consumers.

Expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed are increasing ahead of the September FOMC meeting. Based on Polymarket data, the scenario of two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points has the highest probability of 40%.

However, since the revision of the employment data, expectations of three rate cuts totaling 75 basis points jumped from 8% to more than 23% in the past week.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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