Bitcoin enters 7th week of uptrend, analysts warn of potential correction
Jakarta, August 18, 2025 â Bitcoin is back in the spotlight after recording six consecutive weeks of rallies. However, analysts warn that a price correction may be on the horizon, as BTC approaches the seventh week of its âprice discovery uptrendâ phase .
Halving Cycle Correction: Historical Pattern Comes Back to Haunt
According to popular analyst Rekt Capital, the post-halving Bitcoin market cycle is usually characterized by successive uptrend phases followed by significant corrections.
- In previous cycles, the first uptrend usually ended in week 6 to 8.
- While the second uptrend tends to stop sooner, in weeks 5 to 7.
Currently, Bitcoin is in the 7th week of its second uptrend, with the price trading around $115,532 (Rp1.86 billion), below the record high of $124,500 (Rp2.01 billion) reached last week.
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Potential Correction of 30%: In Line with 2021 and 2017 Patterns
If the historical pattern repeats itself, BTC risks a decline similar to previous corrections.
- In early 2025, the first correction brought the price from around $110,000 (Rp1.78 billion) down to below $75,000 (Rp1.21 billion), or about 30%.
- Sharp corrections like this are nothing new in the crypto bull market, but rather part of the âprice discovery correctionâ dynamic .
Will a New All-Time High be Hit in Q4?
Although the risk of a correction has increased, many analysts believe the decline paves the way for a larger rally later in the year. Daan Crypto Trades analysts highlighted a historical pattern where markets often register rapid declines ahead of strong rallies in the fourth quarter (Q4).
âAny big flush in the next 1-2 months could be the last correction before the explosive rally at the end of the year,â he explained.
Data from CoinGlass shows that August already recorded a +2.1% increase, slightly above the historical average of +1.8%. However, September is usually a red month with an average correction of -3.8%.
With prices still well above the levels at the beginning of the year, any correction that occurs in the next few weeks is likely just part of the healthy cycle of a bull market. For crypto investors, this signal could be an accumulation opportunity before Bitcoin accelerates towards a potential new all-time high in Q4 2025.
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This content aims to enrich readersâ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an assetâs past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
Reference:
- Cointelegraph. Bitcoin risks new 2025 correction as BTC price uptrend starts 7th week. Accessed August 18, 2025
