5 key factors that could push XRP to Rp25,000 by October 2025

Updated

September 30, 2025

Gambar 5 key factors that could push XRP to Rp25,000 by October 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – XRP is attracting the attention of global crypto market participants in October 2025. After a long time in the shadow of legal cases and seasonal negative trends, XRP is now showing a potential resurgence.

With a current price of around $0.75 or equivalent to Rp12,519 (exchange rate of Rp16,692/USD), investors are starting to wonder: can XRP break $1.50 or Rp25,038 in the near future? The answer lies in a combination of technical factors, macroeconomic, and legal catalysts that are developing.

1. Ripple’s legal win could trigger institutional surge

After years of being involved in a legal case with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Ripple Labs is now on the verge of a settlement. According to CoinDesk ‘s May 2025 report, the final decision will most likely be in favor of Ripple.

This victory is believed to pave the way for institutional adoption of XRP which has been held back due to unclear legal status. Data from the Financial Times shows that an XRP ETF is being considered and could potentially attract billions of dollars from institutional investors.

If the ETF is approved, then XRP will follow in the footsteps of Bitcoin and Ethereum which each experienced huge spikes after their ETFs were launched. Previously, the Bitcoin ETF pushed the price up by 50% in three months (CNBC, 2021).

Also Read: 5 Facts About Bitcoin Adoption Countries: Driving BTC Price to New Levels – Says Samson Mow

2. October Historical Data Reverses Direction: Momentum Changing?

October has been known as a bad month for XRP, with an average monthly decline of 5% to 7%. However, this year shows a different trend.

Data from CoinGecko as of September 29, 2025 notes that XRP actually rose 4% in the last 24 hours, 1.3% in a week, and 2.5% during the month. This is contrary to its historical performance, which has always been negative in the same month.

This change in pattern reinforces the sentiment that investors are starting to see XRP not as a problem asset anymore, but rather as one of the candidates for the next altcoin leader.

3. Fed’s Rate Cut Enlarges Funds Flow into Crypto

According to Bloomberg October 2025, the CME FedWatch Tool shows an 89.3% probability of a rate cut of 25 basis points in the near future. This is a strong signal that liquidity will increase in the market.

Low interest rates have historically had a positive impact on risky assets like cryptocurrencies. When money is cheap, investors are more willing to put funds in assets like XRP and other altcoins.

Data from Reuters (2020) notes that when the Fed last aggressively cut interest rates, Bitcoin surged 30-50% in three months. XRP and other altcoins usually follow suit, with even higher upside potential.

4. XRP Technical Indicators Show Bullish Signal

Technical analysis also supports the optimistic scenario for XRP. Based on CoinGecko data, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, signaling upward momentum without being overbought.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also showing a golden cross-a strong signal that buyers are starting to dominate. Trading volume has also increased 15% in the past week, reinforcing the potential for a breakout.

With prices now approaching the $0.75 resistance level (IDR12,519), if this level is broken with sufficient volume, the next short-term target is at $1.00 or IDR16,692.

5. Analyst Projections: Target of IDR25,000 Still Realistic

Mark Thompson of J.P. Morgan stated that “legal clarity could push XRP up 50-70% by year-end,” as quoted by MarketWatch, September 2025. With a target of $1.50 or IDR 25,038, this means a potential upside of almost 100% from the current price.

However, other analysts such as Bloomberg ‘s Rachel Evans warned that if global economic uncertainty remains high, XRP may only be able to reach $0.80 (IDR13,353). Meanwhile, Alex Harper of CoinDesk emphasized that XRP’s strength lies in its technology as a cross-border payment solution-as long as regulatory barriers can be resolved.

Conclusion: XRP at a Turning Point, but Risks Remain

XRP is at a crossroads. On the one hand, positive catalysts such as legal settlements and potential ETFs give huge room for growth. However, on the other hand, macro uncertainty and the risk of delayed regulatory decisions remain a real threat.

For crypto investors, October 2025 could be a crucial moment for XRP. If all goes according to expectations, XRP could be the altcoin star of the year-but if not, a sharp price correction is still possible.

Also Read: 5 Major Corrections Before Bitcoin Breaks the New ATH: This is Analyst’s Prediction!

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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