4 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Signals for Investors to Watch After Correction to IDR1.58 Billion

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market is reeling after Bitcoin fell sharply to Rp1.58 billion (USD 95,000), breaking its 365-day moving average and sparking concern among investors. But amid the pressure, a number of signals have emerged that analysts say could signal a potential recovery. Here are four key points that are currently being discussed in the market.

1. Tom Lee: This Correction is Due to “Market Maker Distress”, Not Fundamentals

According to Tom Lee, CIO of Fundstrat and Chairman of Bitmine Immersion, the BTC price drop was triggered by pressure from market makers and large institutional investors (sharks) who sold their assets to cover losses after the “flash crash” on October 10, 2025.

Lee expects this pressure to be short-term and will likely subside 6-8 weeks after the event, around late November to early December. He emphasized that this correction does not invalidate the long-term potential of Ethereum and the “supercycle” that Wall Street is building on blockchain technology.

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2. ETF Selling Pressure and BTC’s Social Dominance Touch Extreme Point

Data from Bianco Research noted that outflows from the Spot BTC ETF reached IDR 38.3 trillion (USD 2.3 billion), the second highest since the ETF was launched. This indicates risk-off action by institutional investors and makes Bitcoin’s price position even more fragile.

However, analytics platform Santiment noted that Bitcoin social dominance (BTC Social Dominance) hit a 4-month high-an important metric that has historically signaled potential market turning points amid widespread fear of extremes (FUD).

3. Technical Analysis: BTC Could Correct to IDR916 Million if Bearish Trend Continues

Technically, BTC has broken the support line of the 365-day Moving Average (DMA), indicating a reversal of long-term momentum in a bearish direction. If the selling pressure continues, the price could touch IDR 916 million (USD 55,000), corresponding to the 200-week Moving Average (WMA) which is the next support.

However, the analyst mentioned that currently BTC is likely to consolidate below the 365DMA. Price recovery will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts-specifically the Fed’s interest rate policy.

4. Hope on Fed Rate Cut, but Market Still Hesitant

The short-term recovery prediction by Coinbase analysts hinges on the likelihood of the Fed making a rate cut in its December meeting. But currently, the chance of a 25 bps rate cut is only 44%, while the chance of a rate pause is 55%.

If the Fed only pauses and does not cut interest rates, market sentiment is likely to remain subdued and prolong selling pressure. Hence, investors are currently waiting for the latest economic data to see if the recovery catalyst will actually materialize.

Also Read: 10 Most Popular Coin Memes of November 2025: The talk of the town!

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FAQ

Q1: What caused the recent drop in Bitcoin price?

A1: The recent decline in Bitcoin (BTC) price is due to the pressure experienced by market makers and market sharks, especially after the flash crash event on October 10th.

Q2: Is there any indication that the crypto market will improve soon?

Yes, there are some indications that the crypto market may be on the mend soon, including on-chain data showing a potential rebound and analysis from various sources that are optimistic about a recovery.

Q3: What will be the catalyst for crypto market recovery?

The main catalyst for the crypto market recovery is the interest rate policy to be adopted by the Federal Reserve (Fed), with many analysts suggesting that a rate cut could drive the recovery.

Q4: How will the outflow of funds from Bitcoin ETFs affect the market?

The $2.3 billion outflow of funds from the Bitcoin (BTC) Spot ETF has shown that institutional investors are in risk-reduction mode, negatively impacting the market.

Q5: Are there any data or indicators that suggest the crypto market has bottomed?

According to data from Santiment, Bitcoin’s (BTC) social dominance has reached its highest point in the past four months, which historically signals that the market may have bottomed.

*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Benjamin Njiri/AMBCrypto. Tom Lee calls Bitcoin’s sell-off ‘market maker distress’ – Here’s the pivot he sees! Accessed on November 17, 2025