Bitcoin (BTC) Requires a 6.24% Gain to Close the Year Positively

Updated

December 29, 2025

Gambar Bitcoin (BTC) Requires a 6.24% Gain to Close the Year Positively

Jakarta, Pintu News – As 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin faces the challenge of ending the year with a positive performance. From the beginning of the year with an opening price of around $93,374, Bitcoin (BTC) now has to experience an increase of 6.24% to be able to record a green year-end. This situation is in the spotlight as it will be the first time Bitcoin (BTC) closes the year in the red post-halving if it does not manage to recover.

Annual Performance Analysis of Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) reached an all-time high peak above $125,000 in October, just days before a historic market crash that dampened Bitcoin’s (BTC) gains and lowered crypto prices in general. Since that peak, Bitcoin (BTC) price has fallen by around 30% and hit a local low of around $80,000 in November.

3 days left.

3 days for Bitcoin to recover & close up on the year.

If not, this will be the first post-halving year we close in the red.

6.24% required to make this a green candle.

Can we do it? pic.twitter.com/VhEK2SJ1iI
— Nic (@nicrypto) December 28, 2025

Market analysis is currently divided into two camps; some argue that Bitcoin’s (BTC) bull phase is over and it is entering a bear market, while others still see recovery potential. This debate continues to rage on amidst the uncertainty of macroeconomic and liquidity conditions affecting the price of Bitcoin (BTC).

Impact of US Federal Reserve Policy

Since November, Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading well below its 365-day moving average, which is a critical support level. This marks a break in the structural uptrend that started in 2023. Lower interest rate policies are usually a positive catalyst for risky assets, including cryptocurrencies, which tend to rise with the injection of new liquidity.

By 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times by 25 basis points (BPS) however, uncertainty still hangs over the market after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell provided ambiguous forward guidance at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Only 18.8% of investors expect a rate cut in January 2026, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) FedWatch tool.

Also read: Crypto Predictions 2026: Ripple (XRP) Has the Potential to Beat Gold and Silver

Market Outlook and Future Predictions

The crypto market is always affected by various macroeconomic factors and global monetary policy. With the current situation, all eyes are on the next decision of the US Federal Reserve, which will largely determine the future direction of the Bitcoin (BTC) market.

Whether Bitcoin (BTC) will be able to recover and return to its upward path, or whether the decline will continue into 2026, is still a big question among investors and analysts.

This uncertainty makes the market extremely volatile, with investors and analysts keeping a close eye on any small changes in economic indicators or policies that could affect the price of Bitcoin (BTC). Wise decisions and careful market monitoring will be key in navigating this uncertain market.

Conclusion

With only a few days left before the close of the year, the pressure on Bitcoin (BTC) to achieve a 6.24% gain and avoid a red close to the year is growing. The upcoming policy decision from the US Federal Reserve will be highly influential, and global crypto markets are looking forward with great anticipation.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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