3 Signals from the Gold Market that Indicate Bitcoin (BTC) is Nearing its ‘Bottom’

Updated

December 30, 2025

Gambar 3 Signals from the Gold Market that Indicate Bitcoin (BTC) is Nearing its ‘Bottom’

Jakarta, Pintu News – The gold market has recently experienced a short-term dip after a rally that took prices to record highs. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has not performed impressively in the quarter that is usually its strongest period.

This has sparked constant comparisons between the two assets. Despite Bitcoin (BTC)’s apparent weakness, some analysts are highlighting a series of macroeconomic, statistical, and technical signals from the gold market that suggest Bitcoin (BTC) may be nearing a bottom and preparing for its next big move.

Macroeconomic Analysis: Gold and Silver Lead, Bitcoin (BTC) Follows

🚨 WHY IS BITCOIN DOWN -30% FROM ITS PEAK WHILE GOLD AND SILVER ARE GOING PARABOLIC?

Because Gold and Silver tops first, then Bitcoin starts its rally.

Here is what happened last time 👇

After the March 2020 crash, the Fed injected massive liquidity into the system. The first… pic.twitter.com/3Wvhd5lz3V
— Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) December 29, 2025

From a broader macroeconomic perspective, there is a pattern where gold and silver peak before Bitcoin (BTC) follows suit. This pattern was explained in detail by an analyst through a post on X (formerly Twitter). After the market crash in March 2020, the Federal Reserve injected massive liquidity into the market.

This liquidity injection first sought a safe haven. Gold rose from around $1,450 to $2,075 in August 2020. Meanwhile, silver surged from $12 to $29. During the same period, Bitcoin (BTC) stayed in the range of $9,000 to $12,000 for five months, according to analysis by BullTheory.

Statistical Decoupling Signals a Crypto Rally

Bitcoin ($87,500) is currently (pink dot) way off its historic correlation with stocks ($6900) and gold ($4500). This happened before, when BTC was below $1k, and resulted in a 10x pump. But correlation could also be broken, and then this time will be different. Time will tell.. pic.twitter.com/3JwLkgUydB
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) December 27, 2025

Another important signal comes from Bitcoin’s (BTC) correlation with gold and equities. PlanB analysts note that Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a significant divergence from its historical correlation with both assets. A similar decoupling occurred when Bitcoin (BTC) traded below $1,000, before eventually surging more than tenfold.

GOLD/BTC Ratio: Basic Market Indicators

$BTC / #GOLD is hitting the purple downtrend on RSI for 5th time in history.

🟠ccurrences:
+ Bear market bottom 2011
+ Bear market bottom 2015
+ Bear market bottom 2018
+ Bear market bottom 2022
+ Bear market bottom 2025 ?

Each time a higher low on BTC/GOLD was printed 🟠 pic.twitter.com/5BkG2QpVKp
— Gert van Lagen (@GertvanLagen) December 27, 2025

From a technical standpoint, the BTC/GOLD ratio also provided key signals. Macro strategist Gert van Lagen highlighted that the RSI of the ratio touched the downtrend line for the fifth time in history.

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If these historical, statistical, and technical patterns hold, the current divergence may represent a transitional phase rather than continued weakness, setting the stage for a Bitcoin (BTC) bull run once the precious metal pauses and risk appetite returns.

Conclusion

Considering the signals from the gold market, it is possible that Bitcoin (BTC) is preparing for its next big move. Investors and market watchers may want to pay attention to these indicators to make informed investment decisions in the future.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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