3 Reasons Why Ripple (XRP) is Ready for a Drastic “Rebound” Despite Falling 30% This Month!

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto asset Ripple is currently facing heavy pressure after experiencing a significant price drop of more than 30% in the past month. Uncertain market conditions due to global geopolitical tensions and concerns regarding new trade tariff policies are the main triggers for this sharp correction across the crypto ecosystem.

However, analysts are starting to see a glimmer of hope in the storm as some technical indicators suggest that a bottom may be just around the corner for the digital asset.

Action Whale Moves IDR757 Billion to the Exchange

Ripple (XRP) whales were observed moving more than 31 million tokens to the Binance exchange in just one day. This fantastic transfer value is equivalent to around $45 million or approximately IDR 757,305,000,000 if converted using the current exchange rate of IDR 16,829 per US dollar. While the movement of large funds to exchanges is often considered a worrying sell signal, it could also indicate strategic preparations for the liquidation of large volumes of assets to stabilize their market position.

The group of wallets holding more than 1 million Ripple (XRP) coins recorded the largest contribution to the inflow to the exchange with a total shipment of 14.49 million tokens. In addition, wallets with balances between 100,000 and 1 million coins also contributed around 14.23 million tokens in the same time period. While these inflows markedly increase the risk of short-term price volatility, experts caution that the tokens may not be instantly sold on the global cryptocurrency market.

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Realized Loss Reaches Highest Point Since 2022

Data from analytics platform Santiment revealed that therealized loss rate of Ripple (XRP) holders has jumped sharply to the highest level in recent years. This phenomenon usually occurs when many retail and institutional investors decide to sell their assets below the average purchase price due to excessive panic. This spike in losses reflects an extreme phase of capitulation where sellers finally give up as the market pressure is deemed too much to bear.

Historically, such high loss spikes have often signaled very strong price reversals or “rebounds” for digital assets. Based on past data recorded by analysts, similar periods of capitulation have been followed by tremendous price increases of up to 114% in just a few months. Therefore, the stressful market conditions you see now could be an important indicator that the supply of selling is starting to run out and is soon to be replaced by a new, healthier wave of demand.

MVRV signals potential price increase

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator for Ripple (XRP) is currently showing a technical pattern that is almost identical to the market conditions in July 2024. During that period, a similar MVRV pattern proved to be the main foundation before a significant price rally across the international crypto sector. This historical analysis provides investors with optimism that the current downward cycle may be coming to an end and soon give way to a favorable upward trend.

However, you should still be wary as institutional demand through ETF investment products has seen a gradual decline in interest lately. Current global macroeconomic conditions are also exerting a much greater influence on market sentiment compared to internal project developments within the Ripple (XRP) ecosystem itself. Although the probability of a short-term price increase is increasing based on on-chain data, disciplined risk management remains key in dealing with the volatile dynamics of cryptocurrencies.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

• Kamina Bashir/BeInCrypto. XRP Struggles as On-Chain Stress Mounts: Is a Bottom Forming?. Accessed February 24, 2026.