Crypto Predictions End of March 2026: Bitcoin (BTC) Ready to Soar Like Oil?

Updated
March 12, 2026
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Gambar Crypto Predictions End of March 2026: Bitcoin (BTC) Ready to Soar Like Oil?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The recent surge in global oil prices has shaken global markets and drawn market participants’ attention to the potential movement of Bitcoin . Many analysts have begun to compare oil’s sharp rally with Bitcoin’s (BTC) possible surge towards new record highs before the end of March.

But will Bitcoin (BTC) really be able to follow in oil’s footsteps, or will it be pressured by the macroeconomic turmoil? This article will take an in-depth look at the opportunities and challenges facing Bitcoin (BTC) amid the current global market dynamics.

Oil Price Spike and Its Impact on Bitcoin (BTC)

Global crude oil prices surged more than 60% in a short period of time, fueled by geopolitical tensions and fears of global supply disruptions. Brent crude briefly breached $119 per barrel before eventually dropping to the $90 range, as diplomatic signals appeared to ease the conflict.

Such increases in energy prices typically impact inflation, transportation costs, and production around the world. The domino effect of oil price spikes also affects investor sentiment in the stock market, commodities, and digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC).

Bitcoin (BTC) is known as an asset that is sensitive to macroeconomic changes, including interest rate shifts and geopolitical crises. In some previous cases, a spike in oil prices was followed by a rise in Bitcoin (BTC) prices of about 20% in four weeks.

If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin (BTC) could potentially break the $80,000 zone by the end of March. However, a sharp rally like this needs a stronger catalyst for it to materialize.

Read also: World Oil Price per Barrel Today, Thursday, March 12, 2026

AI Projections and Challenges to the All-Time High

According to Coin Edition, artificial intelligence -based analysis shows that Bitcoin’s (BTC) chances of setting a new record high in the near future are limited. Currently, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is still hovering around $70,000, well below the previous cycle peak of around $126,200.

A price increase of 80% in a short period of time is very rare except during the peak phase of a bull market with huge liquidity and massive retail participation. Therefore, most AI projections expect Bitcoin (BTC) price movements to be more moderate until the end of March.

bitcoin
Generated by AI

In an optimistic scenario, easing geopolitical tensions and an influx of institutional funds through ETFs could push Bitcoin (BTC) to the $75,000 to $80,000 range. However, if oil volatility continues or the conflict heats up further, risk sentiment could weaken and push Bitcoin (BTC) prices down to the $60,000 to $64,000 zone.

Meanwhile, the neutral scenario expects Bitcoin (BTC) to consolidate between $65,000 and $75,000. All of these scenarios are highly dependent on global macroeconomic developments in the coming weeks.

Also read: Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz not over yet, oil prices surge by 7%!

Risks and Opportunities Amid Global Market Turmoil

Spikes in oil prices are not always a positive catalyst for risky assets like Bitcoin (BTC). Rising energy prices can trigger inflation and encourage investors to shift funds to safer assets such as bonds or commodities.

In situations like these, crypto markets and tech stocks often experience significant selling pressure. This was seen when Bitcoin (BTC) fell to around $65,000 when oil volatility peaked.

Historical data also shows that oil and Bitcoin (BTC) price movements do not always align. In 2021, Bitcoin (BTC) peaked at $69,000 while Brent crude prices continued to rise to $120 per barrel, which marked the beginning of a long correction in the crypto market.

This pattern indicates that energy price spikes often occur late in the market cycle, when liquidity begins to tighten and risk appetite declines. Therefore, investors need to be wary of potential trend reversals amid the current global market turmoil.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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