This is the BTC price prediction by Arhur Hayes based on the April 2025 Fed rate!

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market seems to be regaining momentum soon after the last FOMC meeting, where former Bitmex CEO Arthur Hayes predicted an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve on April 1. Currently, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates fixed at 4.5%, prompting a 3.5% rise in the price of Bitcoin BTC->Current BTC PriceRp 0Market Cap-Trading Volume-Circulating Supply- and a strong surge in altcoins.

Arthur Hayes and the Bitcoin Price Baseline Prediction

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, commented on the crypto market’s reaction to the last FOMC meeting by stating that Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price drop to $77,000 could be its lowest point.

Hayes flagged that the end of quantitative tightening (QT) will come to an end on April 1, and this could be a catalyst for bullish momentum driven by the release of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) or the resumption of quantitative easing (QE).

Hayes also predicts that the correction in the US equity market may continue, which will prompt Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, to adopt policies that favor the Trump administration. “Stay nimble and ready with cash,” Hayes advises.

Also Read: CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s Warning Against Crypto Market End of March 2025

BTC Price Action and M2 Money Supply

Following yesterday’s FOMC meeting, Bitcoin (BTC) price experienced a quick recovery by surging 3.5% to reach $87,000. Renowned analyst, IncomeSharks, noted that BTC has bounced back from supertrend support. However, for the BTC uptrend to continue, the price needs to close above the diagonal resistance of $86,351.

Furthermore, Bitcoin (BTC) price action is expected to follow the M2 money supply that has been increasing lately. M2 is expected to grow over time for a variety of reasons, and its high correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), combined with a power law leverage factor of 9, suggests that small changes in liquidity could have a large impact on the price of BTC. BTC price prediction data suggests that the price will reach $90,000 by mid-April.

Will the Fed End QT in April?

As the impact of Trump’s trade war slows the American economy, some market analysts believe that the Fed could be the first to relent. While speaking to the media on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated: “Median participants project that the appropriate Fed Funds rate will be at 3.9% at the end of this year and 3.4% at the end of next year, unchanged from December.”

In response to Arthur Hayes, renowned crypto analyst, Benjamin Cowen, denied that quantitative tightening (QT) will end on April 1. Cowen explained that the Federal Reserve is still reducing its balance sheet by $35 billion per month through mortgage-backed securities. Although the pace of QT has slowed from $60 billion per month to $40 billion per month, the process is still ongoing.

Conclusion

With various predictions and analysis floating around, the crypto market seems to be on the verge of significant change. Investors and market watchers should remain alert to global dynamics and monetary policies that could dramatically affect crypto asset prices.

Also Read: When will Chainlink (LINK) reach $24? Check out the prediction! Here’s LINK’s Technical Analysis!

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coingape. Bitcoin Price Rally Ahead as Fed Rate Cuts to Start April 1, Says Arthur Hayes. Accessed on March 21, 2025
• Featured Image: CCN