Will Ethereum Repeat Its Big Rally History in 2026? Here are the Facts!

Updated

January 12, 2026

Gambar Will Ethereum Repeat Its Big Rally History in 2026? Here are the Facts!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Ethereum is currently experiencing a decline in social media conversations similar to the conditions before last year’s big rally. However, analysts emphasize that this does not automatically guarantee a significant price increase will occur again.

Low Market Sentiment

According to Santiment analyst Brian Quinlivan, sentiment around Ethereum (ETH) has declined and is now at the lowest level ever recorded before the great rally of 2025. Quinlivan argues that this decrease in discussion activity signals that the likelihood of further price declines is not that great. He also adds that prices often increase after strong public skepticism.

On August 23, Ethereum (ETH) reached a new high of around $4,900, having recovered from its annual low of around $1,470 in April, according to data from CoinGecko. However, since then, Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a decline of about 36% from its peak and is trading at $3,089 at the time of this report.

Also Read: XRP 2026 Price Prediction: Is This Investment Still Promising?

Market Shock and Liquidation Event

Recent reports reveal that the mass liquidation on October 10 led to losses of nearly $20 billion across the crypto market. This event was attributed to more recent price drawdowns. The liquidation affected many positions and was followed by a more risky mood in the market.

The crypto fear indicator showed a Fear score of 29 on Sunday, while the Altcoin Seasonality Index showed a Bitcoin Seasonality score of 34 out of 100. These scores indicate that funds have flowed more into Bitcoin (BTC) than into altcoins in the past 90 days. Traders are watching this mix of metrics closely to determine positions based on shifts in sentiment.

Network Activity and Staking Interest

Quinlivan also highlighted on-chain signals that he considers positive. According to him, activity on the Ethereum (ETH) network has increased and staking is attracting more attention from users. Meanwhile, Vitalik Buterin has joined the public discussion regarding technical updates.

Buterin stated in a long post on X that PeerDAS, introduced along with the Fusaka update, along with zero-knowledge proofs and sharding, will push Ethereum (ETH) towards much higher throughput. He added that layer-2 networks like Base, Polygon, and Optimism will still be needed as many use cases require faster speeds than the mainnet.

Conclusion

Although Ethereum (ETH) is currently in a similar state to that before last year’s big rally, there is no guarantee that history will repeat itself in the same way. Investors and market watchers should remain alert to changing market dynamics and not rely entirely on historical patterns.

Also Read: Raydium Price Prediction 2026: Significant Upside Potential in the Solana Ecosystem

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