XAU/USD Analysis and Predictions Today (February 9, 2026): Gold Still Likely to Rise

Jakarta, Pintu News – The XAU/USD (gold against the US dollar) market is still showing interesting dynamics on February 9, 2026. Based on the latest technical analysis from Agrodana Futures, the direction of gold movement is not entirely one-way and requires attention to important technical levels on the H4 and Daily charts so that trading strategies can adjust risks and opportunities.

XAU/USD Technical Analysis Today

Gold prices on the Daily timeframe showed a bullish ending candle, which in theory opens up room for further gains. Gold was stuck at the 61.8% Fibonacci level, but the upside potential is still open as long as the key level is not broken down.

This bullish support is also backed by some medium-term fundamental factors:

• Purchases by global central banks including China continue to strengthen demand for gold as a hedge asset.
• Expectations of loose monetary policy from several major central banks.
• Geopolitical uncertainty and inflation are still looming over global financial markets.

Also Read: 5 Fun Facts: Bitcoin Often Rebounds in February – Lessons from Historical Data

Movement Scenarios for Traders

Bullish Scenario

• Buy on Dip is recommended when prices decline to the correction area around 4936-4963 or 4829-4882.
• If the price manages to break the important resistance area in the range of 5041-5091, the potential for further upside towards the range of 5146-5240 is open.
• A long strategy can be continued if a breakout above the orange zone occurs.

Bearish Scenario

• Downside risks will increase if the price breaks the strong support below 4829.
• If this level is broken, the bearish signal is stronger and traders can consider short positions, with a possible target of the next lower support area.

Volatility and Risk Levels

Although the bullish bias remains, gold price movements remain vulnerable to important economic data such as the US inflation (CPI) and Non-Farm Payrolls reports as both have an impact on the strength of the US dollar. Changes in the value of the dollar are often inversely correlated with XAU/USD movements.

Day traders are advised to pay attention to the relatively limited range and utilize small targets (around 30-50 points) to better manage risk. Disciplined stop losses are key amidst a market environment that is still susceptible to fundamental sentiment.

Brief Conclusion

• Technical bias: Short-term bullishness is still valid as long as support above the key zone is not broken.
• Important levels: 4829 as strong support, 5091 as important resistance.
• Strategy: Buy on dip in correction zone, sell break if support breaks.
• Fundamental factors: Central bank policies, US economic data and geopolitics remain the main catalysts for the direction of XAU/USD.

Also Read: 5 AI Perspectives: Will XRP Fall Below $1 in February 2026?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Agrodana Futures. Technical Analysis Forex, Gold (XAUUSD) February 9, 2026. Accessed February 9, 2026.