
Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin investors’ hopes of seeing a dramatic price surge through the help of global monetary policy seem to be dampened. Renowned macro analyst Lyn Alden recently warned that this cycle will not be saved by “nuclear cash injections” from central banks as it has been in the past. In a recent interview, he emphasized that the future policy direction will be more like slow and gradual balance sheet growth, forcing the cryptocurrency to struggle purely on its own fundamentals.
Lyn Alden explained that the Federal Reserve (Fed) currently does not have a strong reason to carry out massive money printing as in the 2020 pandemic era. According to him, the current banking conditions still have a fairly high cash ratio, so a “surprise” stimulus is not needed in the near future to maintain market liquidity. Instead of a trillion-dollar injection, the market may only see a very moderate and insignificant balance sheet expansion for risky asset price movements.
The central bank’s main focus right now is to maintain liquidity in the Treasury and interbank lending markets, not to bail out the stock or crypto markets. Alden emphasized that even a 10% to 30% drop in the stock index is not necessarily a catalyst for the Fed to aggressively print money again. This creates a new challenge for Bitcoin (BTC) holders who have been relying heavily on the narrative of global liquidity easing to drive price increases.
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Without strong macro support, Bitcoin (BTC) now has to compete directly with other high-performing assets for the attention of global investors. Alden notes that market attention is currently being siphoned off by artificial intelligence -related equities such as Nvidia, as well as other traditional hedge assets. The lack of retail investor participation in this cycle has led to stagnant demand and has been unable to keep up with the much greater market liquidity.
Currently, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $67,556 or around Rp1,141,318,172, which according to Alden still reflects “mediocre” demand from both institutional and retail sides. He also highlighted that the absence of an “altseason” or alternative coin season made market sentiment feel worse than the bear market period in 2022. Investors are now required to be more discerning in looking at the self-custody value that these assets offer amidst the dominance of other tech assets.
Despite the lack of major stimulus, Alden sees the potential for a strong price floor to form as “fast money” starts to exit and assets move into more patient hands. The price recovery is not expected to take the shape of a sharp V, but rather a slow crawl upwards as companies accumulate Bitcoin backup services. There is a chance of a bounce back if the AI investment trend starts to peak and investors start looking for decentralized alternatives to rare assets.
Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is struggling to stay above the weekly moving average line (EMA 200) to keep its long-term momentum intact. For beginners, this is an important reminder that investing in the cryptocurrency market requires extra patience and managing realistic expectations of macroeconomic policies. The focus on the narrative as a non-devaluable savings asset remains a key attraction for those who understand the long-term vision of blockchain technology.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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