
Jakarta, Pintu News â XRP is increasingly attracting the attention of the cryptocurrency market as the likelihood of an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) approval in 2025 continues to rise. Recent predictions show high optimism from investors and analysts regarding the impact of the XRP ETF on institutional crypto investment strategies. Data from various sources indicates significant changes in the regulation of digital assets in the United States.

According to data from Polymarket, a leading prediction market, the chances of spot approval of the XRP ETF have now risen sharply to 94% as of September 7, 2025, compared to 86.8% at the end of August. This increase shows that investors are increasingly confident in the possibility of the XRP ETF being approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Nate Geraci, President of Novadius Wealth Management, mentioned that investor demand for the spot XRP & SOL ETF is likely to be much higher than market expectations.
Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas also estimated the chances of XRP ETF approval at 95%, indicating that digital asset regulation is becoming more permissive. This data confirms that the momentum for digital assets such as XRP is strengthening in the global market.
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A number of asset managers such as Canary, Coinshares, Franklin, 21Shares, Wisdomtree, and Bitwise made revisions to the XRP ETF spot document. According to Polymarket, these revisions indicate an active dialog with the SEC, which is usually a sign that the ETF approval process is underway. Such iterations of the document often precede the official approval of ETFs in the United States.
Geraci added that the major exchanges are quietly coordinating with the SEC for crypto ETF spot listing standards. If this process goes according to schedule, the opening of access to various new crypto ETFs is expected to occur as early as October 2025. This signals that XRP could potentially be the next digital asset to enter the regulated ETF market.

The approval of the XRP ETF allows institutional investors to have broader exposure to cryptocurrencies within a standardized compliance framework. Ripple CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, called the approval of the XRP ETF âinevitableâ. Market data shows that institutions interested in Bitcoin at IDR1.84 billion per coin and Ethereum at IDR70.8 million per coin will most likely also consider an allocation to XRP (IDR48.7 thousand per coin).
With the ETF in place, institutional investors can reduce the risk associated with trading crypto directly on spot exchanges. This is expected to increase liquidity and price stability of XRP in the global cryptocurrency market.
The SECâs previous approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs paved the way for other digital assets such as XRP. According to a Bloomberg report, this is considered a logical step in expanding access to regulated crypto markets. Traditional investors are increasingly interested as the ETF mechanism provides more legal certainty than direct spot trading.
The coordination between exchanges and regulators also shows that the ETF approval process is now more transparent and systematic. This gives a positive signal that the crypto market in the US is heading towards a more mature integration with the traditional financial system.
With the chances of an XRP ETF approval approaching 100%, analysts rate 2025 as potentially a major turning point for cryptocurrency investments. Nate Geraci emphasizes that investor demand is expected to be much higher than initial estimates, similar to previous spot BTC & ETH ETFs.
Retail and institutional investors are advised to monitor the SECâs official announcement, as the ETF approval could open up a new path for digital asset diversification. This moment could be a pivotal point in the history of regulation and growth of the global crypto market.
Also Read: 4 Reasons El Salvador Moved IDR11 Trillion in Bitcoin: Protection or Sell Signal?
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