Crucial Week for Bitcoin: 3 US Economic Reports Investors Await

Updated

November 25, 2025

Gambar Crucial Week for Bitcoin: 3 US Economic Reports Investors Await

Jakarta, Pintu News – This week is a pivotal point for Bitcoin as three pending economic reports are released in the United States. These reports are highly anticipated as they could affect Federal Reserve policy and the crypto market. With the probability of a December rate cut approaching 70%, these reports are expected to shed new light on the state of the US economy, especially on consumption and inflation.

Pending Retail Sales and PPI Data

The 43-day US government shutdown has caused delays in various economic indicators, including retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Both reports are scheduled for release on Tuesday, November 25 at 8:30 am ET, providing an update on consumer spending and inflation.

The previous retail sales report showed a monthly increase of 0.6%, while August PPI fell by 0.1%. The September PPI data is very important as it is the last inflation data before the October Personal Consumption Expenditure report.

The market has estimated the chance of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December at 67.3%, but this figure could change depending on the results of the report. A higher-than-expected rise in PPI, especially in the core component that excludes food and energy, could reduce the chances of a rate cut and strengthen the US dollar.

Initial Jobless Claims and Holiday Volatility

The latest jobless claims report shows a labor market that is still stable but gradually cooling. Seasonally adjusted initial claims fell by 8k to 220k (consensus was probably aorund 50k higher), and the 4 week average edged down to 224.25k. Layoffs remain low by historical… pic.twitter.com/SQu7KhtMGm
— Macro84 (@macro84) November 21, 2025

Initial jobless claims data to be released on Wednesday provide the latest update on the US labor market ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. Analysts expect there to be 225,000 new claims for the week ending November 22, up from 220,000 previously. A reading above 225,000 could indicate a weakening labor market, which often triggers speculation about further monetary policy easing.

Employment statistics remain a key focus for the Federal Reserve, with Chairman Jerome Powell emphasizing the importance of maintaining a healthy labor market in controlling inflation.

The reporting schedule is also important as markets will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and operate with shorter hours on Friday, which could increase volatility if the data released is surprising. Since Bitcoin is traded around the clock, the crypto market can move significantly even if traditional markets are closed.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this week is crucial for the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, as these pending US economic reports will provide new insights into the upcoming monetary policy. Investors and market participants should pay close attention to the results of these reports to anticipate possible Bitcoin price movements.

FAQ

What US economic reports are considered the most influential this week?

Retail sales, Producer Price Index (PPI) and initial jobless claims reports are in focus as they influence the Federal Reserve’s views on inflation and labor.

When are the retail sales and PPI data released?

Both reports were released on Tuesday, November 25 at 8:30 am ET after being delayed by the 43-day US government shutdown.

Why is the September PPI report so important?

September’s PPI is the last inflation indicator before the release of October’s Personal Consumption Expenditure data, so it may influence the rate cut decision.

What is the projection for this week’s jobless claims?

Analysts expected 225,000 new claims for the week ending November 22, up from 220,000 the previous week.

How does holiday volatility impact Bitcoin?

Since traditional markets are closed on Thanksgiving but Bitcoin remains traded 24/7, the release of surprising data can trigger significant price movements in the crypto market.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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