
Jakarta, Pintu News – Gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD) prices rose in recent trading after US bond yields fell following weaker-than-expected retail sales data. The rise reflects the market’s response to signals of a slowdown in the United States economy, which makes safe-haven assets like precious metals attractive to buy. This sentiment is also relevant for crypto and cryptocurrency investors who are watching how macro data affects asset allocation outside of digital markets.
Spot gold rose about 0.7 percent after US Treasury yields slumped on disappointing December retail sales data. The decline in yields made the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold lower, attracting buying interest. If gold is trading at around USD 5,000 per ounce, it is worth approximately IDR 83.85 million assuming an exchange rate of IDR 16,771/USD.
Gold prices often react to falling yields as it reduces the incentive to hold higher yielding assets. Under these conditions, XAU/USD tends to receive technical support from market participants seeking protection against a potential economic slowdown. This response is similar to the way the market reacts to other defensive assets including some segments of cryptocurrencies when global growth expectations slow down.
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Spot silver showed stronger gains than gold, with gains of around 2 percent or more in the same session. If silver is trading at around USD 82 per ounce, it is worth more than IDR 1.37 million per ounce. These gains show that silver, in addition to being an industrial commodity, is also seen as a short-term hedge by some investors.
This positive sentiment is supported by falling bond yields which make zero-yield metals like silver more attractive. However, silver also received an additional boost from investment demand as well as improved global risk sentiment. This movement is a sign that XAG/USD appears more responsive to changes in economic data than XAU/USD.
The latest US retail sales report showed weaker-than-expected growth, creating concerns over a slowdown in domestic consumption. This data pressured bond yields and altered market expectations for the direction of monetary policy. If the slowing trend continues, the Federal Reserve could consider cutting interest rates sooner than anticipated.
The market response to retail data illustrates the strong link between macroeconomic indicators and commodity prices. This catalyst is also often seen in the volatility of other assets such as cryptocurrencies, where global economic news can trigger significant price movements. Investors are now focusing on labor data such as NFP to assess the next policy direction.
Falling US bond yields often correspond to a weakening US dollar, which in turn makes gold and silver prices more internationally competitive. When the dollar softens, precious metals priced in USD become cheaper for investors holding other currencies. This strengthens the underlying demand for XAU/USD and XAG/USD.
The negative correlation between the US dollar and commodity prices has long been observed in financial markets. In this context, investors tend to shift capital from dollar-based assets to more defensive instruments such as precious metals. This situation can also affect riskier assets such as crypto, where a weakening dollar often encourages capital flows into certain classes of digital assets.
After retail, the market’s attention now turns to the upcoming US nonfarm payrolls data. This labor data is a key indicator for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate expectations. If the NFP figure is weaker than expected, markets are likely to strengthen expectations of monetary easing, putting downward pressure on the dollar and the potential for continued strength in precious metals.
The response to NFP can create high volatility in XAU/USD and XAG/USD, so traders need to monitor the figures closely. Further movements will be largely determined by shifting interest rate expectations that affect the global asset cycle.
The rise in gold and silver after US macro data shows that precious metals remain an important asset in diversification strategies. For crypto and cryptocurrency investors, this dynamic illustrates that macroeconomic factors can affect the entire market, including digital assets that have complex correlations to global sentiment.
Portfolio diversification with precious metals can help balance the risk from high volatility in the crypto market. The combination of defensive and risky assets makes for a more holistic portfolio management effort amidst economic uncertainty.
Technically, if XAU/USD and XAG/USD maintain their recent support levels after the rally, the opportunity for a continued bullish trend is still open. However, a breach of important support could trigger a short-term correction due to profit-taking amid macro volatility.
Investors and traders are advised to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as major economic news that could be the next price catalyst.
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As blockchain technology develops, gold can now be owned not only in physical form such as jewelry or bars, but also in digital form through gold-based crypto assets.
One of the most popular is Tether Gold (XAUt), a physical gold-backed ERC-20-based stablecoin, where 1 token represents 1 troy ounce of pure gold. The gold is stored in vaults in Switzerland and each token is directly linked to certified gold bullion. The system uses automated algorithms to efficiently manage the allocation of gold and Ethereum addresses.
XAUt tokens are available and traded on various crypto exchanges. XAUt is also an attractive alternative for those looking to hedge against inflation or global economic uncertainty, while remaining within the digital asset ecosystem.
*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.