Bitcoin (BTC) Could Hit $120,000 in 2025 — What Does Polymarket Predict?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Decentralized prediction market Polymarket has recorded more than $12 million in bets on Bitcoin (BTC) price projections for 2025. Most of the bets indicate that the price of $120,000 is the main target with the highest winning chance of 76%.

Check out the full analysis here!

Market Predictions: Optimism Rising

Since the start of trading on December 31, 2024, Polymarket has seen increased optimism among crypto investors. This is driven by recent market trends and macroeconomic developments.

Despite seemingly absurd predictions, such as Bitcoin (BTC) reaching $1 million or dropping to $20,000, the betting volume for both scenarios remains significant.

The current price target of $120,000 shows the most likely outcome, while the slightly higher target of $130,000 shows a 59% chance. The $150,000 target is also getting a considerable volume of bets with a 37% chance of success.

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Opportunity and Risk Analysis

From a broader perspective, there is a 2% chance for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $1 million, while the $250,000 and $200,000 targets show a 7% and 16% chance, respectively. On the other hand, there are total bets of $1.164 million on $70,000, $1.115 million on $50,000, and $280,000 for $20,000, which is highly unlikely.

Polymarket’s credibility in forecasting has been strengthened after it successfully predicted Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election. Nonetheless, a recent report shows that Polymarket has 94% accuracy in short-term predictions, but remains completely unreliable, as seen by its failure to predict the election of Pope Leo XIV.

Also read: Ripple Denies $5 Billion Circle Buyout Bid, What’s the Say?

Potential Drivers and Barriers

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent rally, which reached a new record high of $111,970 on May 22, was supported by various factors. Improvements in the regulatory environment in the US, government announcements on strategic reserves, and optimism over US-China trade de-escalation are among them.

Current predictions from Polymarket point to the $110,000-$130,000 range for Bitcoin (BTC) as the most likely outcome, driven by increased institutional adoption. However, regulatory uncertainty and market volatility remain a concern for cautious investors.

Conclusion

As far-fetched as it may sound, Polymarket suggests a 7% chance for Bitcoin (BTC) to surge and reach $250,000 by December 2025, a scenario associated with hyperinflation predictions by figures such as “Rich Dad Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki. While the projection may seem speculative, it confirms the enthusiasm surrounding Bitcoin’s (BTC) potential.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Crypto Times. Polymarket Sees $120k as Prime Target for Bitcoin Price in 2025. Accessed on June 5, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by AI