Gold Price Prediction 2025: Predicted to Rise Again, Here are the Factors and Impact on Crypto!

Jakarta, Pintu News – Gold prices are back in the spotlight after closing trading at $3,358.30 (equivalent to IDR 54,841,977 at an exchange rate of 1 USD = IDR 16,333) per troy ounce last Friday. Analysts predict the bullish trend will continue as various global factors support the surge in gold prices, ranging from economic uncertainty, central bank policies, to seasonal demand. This phenomenon also has the potential to affect the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin (BTC) which is often referred to as “digital gold”.

Factors Driving the Rise in Gold Prices

Several key factors are driving the rise in gold prices in the second half of 2025. Among them, market attention is focused on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech as well as global PMI data from the US, UK and Europe that influence investor sentiment. The European Central Bank’s interest rate decision is also an important indicator in determining the direction of gold prices.

Uncertainty regarding trade negotiations ahead of the August 1 deadline is considered to strengthen demand for gold as a safe haven. In addition, seasonal demand, especially from the domestic market during the August-October period, also supports prices. This combination of factors has led analysts such as Pranav Mer (JM Financial Services) to expect gold prices to remain high in the near term.

Also Read: XRP Price Surges Again: Momentum Rising, Eyeing Key Resistance

Prospects for Gold as a Hedging Asset

Gold has been recognized as a stable and reliable asset in times of global economic uncertainty. In conditions of low interest rates, investor demand for gold tends to increase because it does not produce yield, but its value is relatively stable. Ventura’s NS Ramaswamy thinks that with catalysts such as a weakening US dollar, geopolitical risks, and massive buying by central banks, gold prices could rise another 4-8% in the second half of 2025-following a 26% increase in the first half.

However, recent data showed that China’s gold imports declined for the second consecutive month through June 2025, to just 63 metric tons-the lowest since January. This decline suggests that there are other variables that investors also need to be aware of, especially from the demand side of major consumer countries.

Implications for Crypto and Global Markets

The upward trend in gold prices is often linked to fears of inflation and the weakening value of fiat currencies. In this context, Bitcoin (BTC) and a number of cryptocurrencies are often compared as modern-day “safe havens”. Some investors are now considering diversifying into crypto as an alternative to gold, especially when market volatility increases or when central bank policies are uncertain.

However, the price movements of gold and crypto are not always in line. Crypto such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins are more volatile than physical gold. However, the trend of institutional adoption and maturing regulation may change the correlation pattern in the future.

Conclusion

With many favorable external factors, gold prices are expected to remain stable or even increase in the next few months. However, demand dynamics, central bank policies, and crypto market trends should always be monitored by investors before making investment decisions. Gold and cryptocurrencies are now both options for portfolio diversification amid global uncertainty, each with its own advantages and risks.

Also Read: $2 Billion Fresh Money Injection, Bitcoin Ready to Fly Again? Analyst: Big Crypto Rally Signals!

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• The Economic Times. Gold price prediction: Gold rate to go up? Here’s what analysts say. Accessed July 17, 2025.