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Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) is now at a crucial point, trading at Rp1,935,969,232 ($117,832.50), just slightly below its all-time high.
Two advanced AIs, ChatGPT and Claude, predict that we are facing a narrow consolidation phase that could trigger explosive price movements.
Although they differ in their approach to risk, both agree that the market is forming a “compressed spring” pattern that could trigger a major breakout.
Is this a strong signal towards the Rp2.1-Rp2.3 billion ($130,000-$140,000) price target in the near future?
BTC is currently moving in a very narrow daily range, only about Rp18.4 million ($1,123), or 0.95% of its current price. This pattern is known by technical analysts as a “compressed spring”, which is a tight consolidation that is usually followed by a big move.
All major indicators, such as the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs, still support the bullish trend. The price of BTC remains above the 20-day EMA at Rp1,919,579,859 ($116,935), confirming the strength of the uptrend.
The RSI stands at 57.61-neutral but interesting as BTC is near record highs, but has yet to enter the overbought area. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram registered a positive signal with a value of 2,330, although the main line is still negative.
Daily volume was relatively low at 6,590 BTC, which translates to institutional accumulation rather than distribution. The very high ATR also suggests that a burst of volatility could be imminent.
Read also: DOGE vs BONK: Popular Memecoin Battle, Who Will Dominate the Market in 2025?
Throughout 2025, BTC showed fundamental strength by rallying from Rp1.679 billion ($102,405) in January to Rp1.964 billion ($119,850) at the end of July. The consolidation phase occurred from February to May in the range of Rp1.762-Rp1.805 billion ($107,500-$110,000).

The big spike started in July, demonstrating Bitcoin’s ability to break out of a long stationary phase with sharp momentum. This pattern is very similar to the current situation.
Another strong signal is the lack of a major correction after the July surge, which suggests healthy accumulation, not speculation. Both Claude and ChatGPT see this as evidence that the current price is underpinned by institutional strength, not hype. This is additional confirmation that BTC is poised to continue its big rally in the last quarter of 2025.
Read also: ONDO vs SEI: The 2025 Altcoin Hot Duel – Who Will Explode First?
Institutional adoption is now the main backbone of BTC’s bullishness. The strategy of large companies such as Strategy, which recently bought 21,021 BTC worth IDR 40.3 trillion ($2.46 billion), reinforces this narrative.
The company’s total holdings now stand at 628,791 BTC, equivalent to Rp1,213 trillion ($74 billion). In addition, the JPMorgan-Coinbase partnership paves the way for the integration of traditional banking with crypto.
New regulations such as the in-kind spot ETF mechanism are also removing major barriers for institutional investors. Many public companies, including Smarter Web Company and Canaan, now allocate Bitcoin as a key reserve asset.
As a result, Bitcoin’s holder structure has changed, creating a more stable price foundation and reducing selling pressure from retail investors.
The current retail sentiment shows a decline, even though the price is close to ATH. Data from LunarCrush shows that the AltRank score dropped 229 points, and the Galaxy Score dropped 13 points. However, engagement is still high with 90.98 million engagements and 292 thousand mentions. This indicates that institutional investors are stepping in while retail investors are still hesitant.
This phenomenon is known as “bullish contraindicators” in the cryptocurrency world. When smart money accumulates and retail is still pessimistic, there is usually FOMO when the price actually breaks out. Bitcoin’s social dominance is still at 19.35%-high but not too extreme-which creates a huge space for sentiment-based price spikes.
Reported by Cryptonews:

Bullish Scenario (65%): Price target is at IDR2,052,625,000-Rp2,299,340,000 ($125,000-$140,000). Breakout is expected in the next 10-14 days, towards the psychological resistance level of IDR1,971,000,000 ($120,000). Further consolidation will take place until day 45, before a further rally to IDR2.135 billion ($130,000).

Correction Scenario (25%): The price fails to break Rp1,950,000,000 ($118,500) and retreats to Rp1,850,000,000-Rp1,643,000,000 ($112,000-$100,000). This drop could be triggered by a macroeconomic shock or a sudden institutional sell-off.

Consolidation Scenario (10%): BTC remains in a narrow range of Rp1,890,000,000-Rp1,971,000,000 ($115,000-$120,000) for 45-60 days. This is an accumulation opportunity for institutions before the price resumes its uptrend.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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