Fed rate cut hopes rise, Bitcoin (BTC) price likely to rise?

Jakarta, Pintu News – A weakening US labor market has fueled speculation about an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, but the price response of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) is not in line with those expectations.

The latest jobs report showed job additions that fell short of expectations, while Ethereum (ETH) experienced significant selling pressure.

Jobs Report Disappoints, Rate Cut Speculation Increases

August jobs data showed the addition of only 22,000 non-farm jobs, much lower than in July. The revised June data even showed a loss of 13,000 jobs, which was the worst performance since 2021.

This fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates sooner than expected. According to the FedWatch tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates three times this year increased after the data release. Despite this, Bitcoin (BTC) price only briefly rebounded to the $113,000 level before stabilizing again.

Also Read: 3 Major Factors that Could Drive a September 2025 Bitcoin (BTC) Rally!

Ethereum (ETH) Difficulty Marks Market Weakness

Ethereum (ETH) experienced a decline of 2.07% last week, with selling pressure mounting. The spot ETF market, which is the main driver of Ethereum (ETH) growth, experienced net outflows of over $780 million in just one week, including a mass withdrawal of $446.71 million on the day of the US jobs report release.

Despite facing heavy selling pressure, the price of Ethereum (ETH) remains quite resilient. This is supported by continuous buying from Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies that have publicly held Ethereum (ETH) and continue to add to their accumulations.

Will August CPI and PPI Report Spur Bitcoin (BTC) Rally?

The United States will release two important inflation reports this week: Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI). If these inflation figures do not significantly exceed expectations, hopes for an interest rate cut will grow stronger.

A possible rally in US risk assets in response to the report could provide the needed momentum for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). The market will be closely watching the outcome of these reports to determine the next direction.

Conclusion: Crypto Market Dynamics in the Shadow of Monetary Policy

Despite expectations of interest rate cuts that could drive crypto asset prices higher, the market’s response to the latest economic news shows greater complexity. Investors and market participants should remain vigilant on macroeconomic indicators and monetary policies that could affect the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

Also Read: 4 Reasons El Salvador Moved IDR11 Trillion in Bitcoin: Protection or Sell Signal?

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• BeInCrypto. Fed Rate Cut Hopes Rise, Bitcoin Price Doesn’t Follow. Accessed on September 8, 2025