Bitcoin (BTC) Supply Crisis in 2025: As Much as 28% Will Disappear from the Market?

Jakarta, Pintu News – According to a recent report from Fidelity Digital Assets, approximately 28% of the total Bitcoin (BTC) supply is expected to be out of the market by the end of 2025. This is due to an increase in the amount of immobilized Bitcoin (BTC) and massive accumulation by exchange-listed companies. This phenomenon could trigger a significant supply shock in the market.

Unmoving Bitcoin (BTC) Holdings Increase

In 2010, the Bitcoin (BTC) ecosystem was desperate for more Bitcoin (BTC) to circulate. Some websites even offered five Bitcoins (BTC) with just one click. However, with the current value of Bitcoin (BTC) having surpassed $100,000, such efforts are no longer necessary.

Fidelity’s report shows that the amount of immobilized Bitcoin (BTC) continues to rise, in contrast to the previous decade. With a fixed total Bitcoin (BTC) supply of 21 million, the increase in uncirculated coins increases the likelihood of price increases. The Fidelity report identifies two main groups contributing to this illiquid supply.

The group includes addresses that have not recorded a move for seven years or more, as well as companies that are listed on an exchange and hold at least 1,000 Bitcoin (BTC). These groups combined are expected to hold more than 6 million Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of 2025, representing 28% of the total supply.

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Massive Corporate Consolidation

Fidelity projects that the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) held by this group could grow to 8.3 million Bitcoin (BTC) by 2032. This shows a significant consolidation trend in the Bitcoin (BTC) market, where large companies with strong financial capacity are accumulating large amounts of Bitcoin (BTC).

This consolidation not only reduces the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) available for trading by retail investors, but also increases the companies’ control over the market price. As of June 30, 2025, these two groups held more than $628 billion in Bitcoin (BTC), more than double the value they held just a year earlier.

While this represents a large unrealized profit, it is not expected that this trend of illiquid supply will be reversed. However, there have been early signs of profit selling, with 80,000 “ancient Bitcoin (BTC)” that had not moved for over a decade being sold in July 2025.

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Potential Profit Taking

The critical question that arises is whether these long-term holders will start taking advantage of their rising value. Although there has been some selling of ancient Bitcoin (BTC), the general trend suggests that the liquid supply in the market will continue to shrink. Investors are advised to understand this shift and adapt their long-term portfolio strategies according to changing market conditions.

A deep understanding of the supply and demand dynamics in the Bitcoin (BTC) market will be key to successful navigation in the increasingly unpredictable cryptocurrency market. With supply becoming increasingly limited, the potential for further price appreciation is becoming increasingly apparent.

Conclusion

With Fidelity’s projections of a decrease in Bitcoin’s (BTC) circulating supply, the market may be facing a period of heightened volatility and prices. Investors and market watchers should prepare themselves for this new dynamic, which could change the way Bitcoin (BTC) is perceived and sustained as an investment asset.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Trading crypto carries high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• BeInCrypto. Fidelity Predicts Massive Bitcoin Supply Crunch, 28% to Vanish from Market. Accessed on September 17, 2025
• Featured Image: Generated by AI