6 Raoul Pal Signals that Show Crypto Will Explode in Early 2026

Di-update
September 30, 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – According to renowned macro analyst and CEO of Global Macro Investor, Raoul Pal, this cryptocurrency market cycle could go beyond the traditional four-year cycle and peak in the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026).

In his analysis, Pal explains that the combination of global business cycle dynamics, political pressures, and stablecoin inflows indicate the market is gearing up for its final parabolic phase.

1. Crypto Market Still in the “Waiting Room”

Raoul Pal said that the market is currently in a “waiting room” before entering the extreme price phase. This is supported by macro indicators such as the business cycle score which shows there is still room for liquidity to increase in the near future.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Pal explained that probabilistically, the crypto market could peak between Q1 to Q2 2026 as the slowing global business cycle makes central banks more likely to maintain liquidity for longer. This opens up a great opportunity for investors to prepare early.

2. Patience Is Key, But the Path Is Clear

Pal emphasized that while there won’t be “perfect price movements every day”, the medium to long-term direction of the market is quite clear. According to him, investors should learn to be patient, as each phase in the crypto cycle has different characteristics.

These comments reflect the view that many major crypto projects and assets, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP (XRP), are in a consolidation stage before the next leg up.

3. US political tensions trigger temporary pullback

According to Brickken analyst Enmanuel Cardozo, the latest drop in the crypto market was not caused by on-chain data, but due to political tensions between former President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policy.

However, what is interesting is that institutional positioning towards crypto has not changed significantly, indicating that large investors are still maintaining exposure to assets such as BTC and XRP. This suggests the fundamental strength of the market remains strong despite short-term volatility.

4. Stablecoin Inflow on Binance Reaches Rp27.5 Trillion

One of the strongest indicators of investor interest in crypto is the inflow of stablecoins to exchanges. The latest data shows that stablecoin inflow to Binance has exceeded $1.65 billion or the equivalent of Rp27.542 trillion.

Stablecoins like USDT and USDC are usually used as a means to buy other cryptocurrencies, so this increase in inflows is considered a signal that the market is preparing for the next step up.

5. Altcoins like Solana (SOL), Sui (SUI), and Dogecoin (DOGE) are poised to soar

According to Pal, several major altcoins are already showing bullish technical patterns. Solana (SOL) is the next strongest candidate to “come out of the waiting room” with an ascending triangle pattern, followed by Sui (SUI) and Dogecoin (DOGE).

In addition, XRP (XRP) is said to be in the process of fully moving to the next phase, and large altcoins outside the top 10 are also starting to show potential although they are predicted to be “slower to launch”.

6. 2025 Cycle Pattern Similar to 2017?

Raoul Pal also compared the current crypto cycle to 2017, when Bitcoin surged more than 1,255% in just over a year. He called the current situation “very similar” to 2017, and the weakness of the US dollar supports the potential for a longer-than-usual cycle.

If history repeats itself, then early 2026 could be the peak of the crypto market, with the possibility of a huge surge across the digital asset ecosystem.


Conclusion: Waiting Room Before the Parabolic Spike?

Raoul Pal’s prediction highlights the importance of patience and preparedness for the next phase of the crypto cycle. With supportive macro indicators, technicals, and on-chain data, investors should be wary of sudden changes while being ready to capitalize on opportunities.

The potential for price spikes in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), XRP (XRP), and Dogecoin (DOGE) is still very much open, especially if liquidity continues to flow and macro tensions ease.

Also Read: 5 Major Corrections Before Bitcoin Breaks the New ATH: This is Analyst’s Prediction!

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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