3 Important Signals for XRP: Can the Price Stay Above $50,800?

Di-update
October 3, 2025

Jakarta, Pintu News – XRP, the main crypto asset developed by Ripple, is back in the spotlight after breaking the psychological level of $3 (Rp49,869) per coin. According to a Decrypt report, the price of XRP rose 4% in a day and has increased by more than 9% over the past 30 days. This movement pushed XRP into the top three of the crypto market with a market capitalization above $182 billion (Rp3,025 trillion). However, while the trend seems positive, technical analysis and market predictions show mixed signals.

1. Market Sentiment: 55% Believe XRP Can Break Rp66,000

According to data from Myriad cited by Decrypt, traders in the prediction market think there is a 55% chance that XRP will reach $4 ($66,492) before falling back to $2 ($33,246). This marks a major shift from the previous week, when the majority of market participants predicted a price drop.

Although the chances of an increase look greater, traders are not yet fully convinced. This suggests that the market is still viewing XRP with caution, especially after a long period of flat movement since July 2025.

Also Read: 3 Coins with the Biggest Futures Volume This Week According to GPT Chat

2. Technical Analysis: Strong Resistance at IDR50,800

Based on Decrypt‘s chart analysis, the price of XRP is currently moving in a horizontal channel after previously forming a descending triangle pattern since the July peak around $3.80 (IDR63,163). The $3.06 (IDR50,864) level is now the critical resistance that the bulls need to break.

Technical indicators are giving mixed signals. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 14, well below the 25 threshold, signaling weak trend strength. However, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is around the $3 level, while the 200-day EMA remains lower at $2.70 (IDR44,755), meaning the long-term structure is still bullish.

3. Key Levels: IDR44,700 is the Safe Limit for Bullishness

According to technical data, $2.70 ($44,755) is a strong support zone for XRP. Not only is this area above the 200-day EMA, but it also coincides with a previous consolidation region that was once the starting point of a price rally. Thus, despite failing to break $3, the correction is expected to find buyers in this area.

Meanwhile, the RSI indicator is at 57, indicating neutral conditions: neither overbought nor oversold. This situation reinforces the analysis that the current movement of XRP is in a phase of price compression. Many analysts suggest that investors wait for confirmation of a daily price close above $3.10 (€51,535) accompanied by a rise in ADX as a sign of a valid breakout.

Conclusion

XRP is showing potential again after crossing the $3 level (IDR49,869), but the market trend is still not fully in favor of a big rally. With strong resistance at IDR50,800 and solid support at IDR44,700, XRP’s near-term movement is likely to remain in a narrow range. Myriad’s prediction of a 55% chance of breaking $4 (IDR66,492) gives some optimism, but technical signals suggest caution before inferring a larger bullish trend.

Also Read: 5 Reasons XRP Could Hit IDR66,000 by the End of 2025: ETFs, Fed, & Crypto Market Momentum

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

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