Will XRP Soar or Slump Between Halloween and Christmas 2025?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The last quarter of 2025 has arrived, and with it comes renewed speculation as to whether XRP (XRP) can maintain its bullish momentum throughout the holiday season.

Historically, the end of the year often brings a sentiment of optimism in the crypto market. However, with mixed market signals, XRP investors are beginning to question whether this season will repeat the rise of previous years, or instead trigger a new decline.

XRP Historical Performance During the 4th Quarter

Over the years, XRP’s performance in the fourth quarter (Q4) has shown variations, although on average it tends to be positive. In Q4 2022, the altcoin experienced sharp losses due to the collapse of the FTX exchange, which shook the entire crypto market.

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The incident wiped billions of dollars off the market capitalization and shook investor confidence, making XRP close the year with a deep negative performance.

The following year, Q4 2023 saw a modest recovery as regulatory sentiment began to change. However, Q4 2024 became one of the most memorable rally periods for XRP. The long-running lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC appeared close to resolution, boosting confidence across the crypto industry.

In addition, with the expectation that Gary Gensler will leave his post as SEC Chairman under the new Trump administration, investors are hoping for a more digital asset-friendly regulatory climate. This optimism drove a 363% surge in the price of XRP, lifting it to its highest level in years.

Entering Q4 2025, XRP seems to be re-establishing a strong bullish foundation. On-chain data shows that token accumulation is happening at the fastest pace in the last five years. Since the beginning of October, more than 960 million XRP – worth about $2.3 billion – have been moved from crypto exchanges.

This decrease in supply has left XRP balances on exchanges at their lowest level since 2020, reflecting investors’ long-term confidence in the asset. Such accumulation patterns often precede price rallies, as reduced supply on exchanges tends to reduce selling pressure in the short term.

If this trend continues into December, it is not impossible that XRP will repeat its positive performance at the end of the year as before.

Read also: XRP Bullish Signal: Selling Pressure Down 82%, XRP Only Needs 5% Push to Breakout?

XRP price has a chance to recover

As of October 21, XRP was trading at $2.42, recording a 14% decline so far this month due to the recent market crash. However, the altcoin is starting to show signs of recovery, trying to reclaim lost momentum as investor sentiment improves.

To confirm a rebound, XRP needs to break the $2.54 level and hold above it. If successful, the token could potentially rise to $2.64, and if the historical pattern repeats itself, XRP could retest the $3.00 level or higher. This rise would allow XRP to fully recoup its losses in the near future.

However, if market conditions deteriorate again, XRP could drop below $2.27 and even head towards the $2.00 area – which would invalidate the bullish scenario. The next few weeks, from Halloween to Christmas, are expected to be a crucial period in determining the direction of XRP’s next big move.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• BeInCrypto. XRP Price Outlook: Halloween, Christmas 2025. Accessed on October 22, 2025