Crypto Market Predictions Ahead of the Fed Meeting on October 29th: Bullish or Bearish Potential?

Jakarta, Pintu News – The crypto market has been anticipating a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at its October 29 meeting. Analysts predict that this decision could trigger mixed reactions in the market, depending on the various external and internal factors at play.

Market Anticipation and Reaction to Fed Policy

According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming meeting has already been priced in by the market. This means that the decision may not have an immediate significant impact. The crypto market has seen a $60 billion decline immediately after the first rate cut of the year at the FOMC meeting last September.

However, prior to that event, the market had added over $270 billion, showing that liquidity is still returning to the market despite the volatility. Earlier this month, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new record high above $126,000, in line with market expectations of an interest rate cut. A similar phenomenon occurred before the first rate cut last month, suggesting a pattern that may repeat itself.

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Long-term Impact of Interest Rate Cut

Although short-term market reactions may vary, a Fed rate cut could potentially be a catalyst for long-term bullish momentum. Geoff Kendrick, analyst at Standard Chartered, highlighted the rate cut as one of the factors that could drive Bitcoin’s (BTC) rally to reach $200,000 by the end of the year.

This suggests that looser monetary policy could provide more liquidity in the market, which benefits riskier assets like crypto. However, it is important to note that other factors such as global economic conditions and monetary policies from other central banks also play a role in determining price dynamics in the crypto market.

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Potential Effects of China Deal and US Government Shutdown

In addition to Fed policy, external factors such as trade deals between the US and China also have the potential to affect the crypto market. US President Donald Trump has confirmed a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the APEC Summit on October 31. This meeting is crucial given that 100% tariffs on Chinese goods will take effect from November 1 if no agreement is reached.

On the other hand, the US government shutdown that has lasted more than three weeks is also creating uncertainty in the market. If the US Senate manages to pass a funding bill to reopen the government, this could provide a positive boost to the crypto market.

Conclusion

With various factors at play, the crypto market may experience volatility around October 29. Although the rate cut has been factored in, the market reaction remains difficult to predict with certainty. Investors and market participants should pay attention to both internal and external factors that may affect the price of crypto assets.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• Coingape. How the Crypto Market Could React to the Next Fed Meeting on October 29. Accessed on October 23, 2025
• Featured Image: Fortune