Bitcoin touches extreme fear point, analysts say rebound moment is getting closer

Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin’s Greed & Fear Index has fallen to the point of extreme pessimism, according to a report from 10x Research. This situation has sparked speculation that a “tactical bottom” or temporary low may be near – an early signal of a potential short-term price rebound.

Fear Indicator at its Highest in a Long Time

According to 10x Research founder Markus Thielen, the sentiment index they developed has touched below 5 points, a very rare level. For reference, a value below 10% indicates extreme fear, while above 90% indicates market euphoria.

More importantly, the 21-day moving average of the index has dropped to the 10% zone, a historical level that in most cases marks a temporary technical turning point for Bitcoin.

Also Read: 4 Bitcoin Indicators that Triggered the Market Rally Reappear!

History Repeats? Rebound Could Happen Again

Thielen emphasized that while Bitcoin price may continue to decline in the short term, the speed of the decline is likely to slow down. He cited a similar example last March, when the indicator bottomed out, Bitcoin fell further before recording a 10% rebound in a short period of time.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is at levels around $84,800, having touched $80,880 earlier. The price of BTC fell by about 10% in a week and 23% in a month, adding to the pressure on investors.

What Does It Mean for Investors?

A very low fear index does not guarantee an immediate price rise, but it does increase the chances of a technical reversal. For short-term traders, this could be a speculative moment to catch a potential price bounce.

However, long-term investors are still advised to be cautious, as macroeconomic trends, interest rates, and regulatory sentiment are still the main factors driving the overall crypto market.

Also Read: 5 Shocking Facts: This US Congressman Secretly Bought IDR 41 Billion in Bitcoin!

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying andselling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

FAQ – Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index: What You Need to Know?

Q1: What is the Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index?
A1: The index measures crypto market sentiment, from extreme fear (fear) to greed (greed). Low score = extreme fear; high score = market euphoria.

Q2: What is the current value of the index?
A2: 10x Research’s proprietary index has dropped to below 5 points, a level that reflects extreme pessimism.

Q3: Does this mean the price of Bitcoin will rise?
A3: Not always. However, based on historical data, extreme levels of pessimism are often followed by short-term rebounds.

Q4: What is meant by “tactical bottom”?
A4: A temporary low point from which the price may bounce, even though the long-term trend has not changed.

Q5: What are the main risks at the moment?
A5: Although the chances of a price bounce are increasing, factors such as high volatility, macro data, and regulatory sentiment could prolong selling pressure.

Reference:
CoinDesk – Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index Shows Extreme Pessimism, Tactical Bottom May Be Near. Accessed November 23, 2025