Polish Crypto Expert’s Bitcoin Prediction Analysis Fails, What Went Wrong?

Jakarta, Pintu News – Polish crypto market analyst Robert Ruszała, popularly known as El Professor, recently publicly apologized after his prediction of a Bitcoin (BTC) price increase was disproven. This incident has sparked various discussions on social media and became a hot topic among crypto watchers.

Rare Step: Analysts’ Acknowledgment of Mistakes

Unlike most analysts in the crypto industry who often only highlight their successful predictions, Ruszała chose to openly admit his mistakes. He had previously released a forecast he called “The Plan,” which described a bullish scenario for Bitcoin (BTC) based on market fractals and 50-week exponential moving averages, as well as a seasonal phenomenon often called the “Santa Rally.”

However, in just three weeks, the market showed the opposite reaction. Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the key zone and thwarted the entire bullish structure that had been foreseen. On November 21, Ruszała directly acknowledged his failure, stating, “I failed… I apologize to everyone who followed this plan. I know where I made mistakes.”

Also read: Michael Saylor Calls Bitcoin Volatility a “Satoshi Gift”, Ignore DAT Crash Fears!

Mistakes in ‘The Plan’

In a technical analysis published afterward, Ruszała explained some of the indicators that he assessed incorrectly in terms of probability. These errors in judgment, according to him, have led to errors in predicting the potential movement of Bitcoin (BTC).

This shows that even well-designed scenarios require constant revision, and the market can always surprise even the most seasoned experts.

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Market Reaction and Lessons Learned

The failure of this prediction not only impacted Ruszała’s reputation, but also provided an important lesson for crypto market participants. It confirms that the crypto market is highly unpredictable and full of volatility. Investors and market followers should always be prepared for the possibility that a prediction could go wrong and the importance of diversifying investments.

Conclusion

The Ruszała case provides an important example of the importance of transparency and honesty in the financial analysis community. While a failed prediction can be a hard blow to an analyst’s credibility, admitting and learning from such mistakes can be an important step in building professional trust and integrity.

FAQ

Who is Robert Ruszała?

Robert Ruszała is a crypto market analyst from Poland, known by the online name El Professor.

What is the ‘Santa Rally’?

The ‘Santa Rally’ is a seasonal phenomenon where stock market prices tend to rise towards the end of the year.

What is ‘The Plan’ released by Ruszała?

‘The Plan’ is a prediction made by Ruszała that describes a bullish scenario for Bitcoin (BTC) based on certain technical analysis.

When did Ruszała admit her failure in prediction?

Ruszała admitted his failure in prediction on November 21, after the market showed a reaction opposite to his prediction.

What lessons can be learned from Ruszała’s prediction failure?

Lessons learned include the importance of transparency and honesty in financial analysis, as well as the reality that crypto markets are highly volatile and unpredictable.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference

• BeInCrypto. Bitcoin Plan Failed: Polish Analyst Apologizes. Accessed on November 25, 2025
• Featured Image: Investing News Network