Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Will Hold Strong Above $80,000 as the Fed Winds Down Tightening

Jakarta, Pintu News – Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has again given his views on the direction of Bitcoin (BTC) price movement, as the main crypto asset continues to trade in the $80,000 range.

Hayes mentioned the increased market liquidity, which he believes is a sign that Bitcoin has reached its bottom. He also predicts that the support level of $80,000 will hold.

Hayes reveals bitcoin predictions ahead of Fed policy changes

In a post on the X platform, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes expressed his belief that Bitcoin will remain above the $80,000 support level. However, he also predicted that there is still a possibility of one last dip to the lower $80,000 range, amid volatile price movements.

Read also: Bitcoin Price Held at $87,000 Today: BTC Predicted to Rise 10-12%?

Hayes also mentioned the possibility of Bitcoin testing important resistance levels soon, but added that the “bazooka” – a term he uses to describe a large price spike – will likely not happen until next year.

On the other hand, Hayes noted a small improvement in market liquidity, which he believes is a positive signal for Bitcoin. He mentioned the Fed’s policy of ending quantitative tightening on December 1, by stopping balance sheet run-off.

In addition, banks in the US also started to increase lending activity this month, which also supported the improvement in market liquidity.

Hayes previously stated that Bitcoin’s price drop to around $81,000 last week was due to a decline in dollar liquidity. However, he is optimistic that liquidity will start to recover before the end of the year. As such, he predicts that Bitcoin is still likely to reach a price of between $200,000 and $250,000 before the year ends.

Hayes also emphasized that Bitcoin’s bottom is near, but he advised market participants to wait for AI tech stocks to correct before making large accumulations.

He predicted that if that happens, the US Treasury and the Fed will inject liquidity back into the market.

Fed Rate Cut Not the Key Determinant

Arthur Hayes also revealed that Bitcoin’s price recovery is not dependent on whether or not the Fed will cut interest rates again this year. As reported by CoinGape, there is still uncertainty regarding the possibility of a third rate cut at the December FOMC meeting.

Read also: XRP Price Surges to $2.10, EGRAG Crypto Analyst Predicts Big Breakout Coming Soon

However, Hayes notes that Bitcoin has managed to rise from $16,000 to $100,000 when interest rates were much higher than they are now. He also emphasized that the amount of credit available is much more important than the interest rate itself.

Therefore, he believes that Bitcoin can still reach a new all-time high regardless of the benchmark interest rate, as long as the Fed conducts unlimited quantitative easing simultaneously.

However, it is important to note that the end of quantitative tightening does not automatically mean that quantitative easing will begin immediately, as the Fed has yet to make an official statement on the plan.

FAQ

Who is Arthur Hayes?

Arthur Hayes is the co-founder of BitMEX, a cryptocurrency trading platform.

What is quantitative tightening by the Fed?

Quantitative tightening is a monetary policy where the central bank reduces the amount of money in circulation by selling its financial assets.

What is Arthur Hayes’ Bitcoin price prediction?

Arthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 by the end of the year.

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*Disclaimer

This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.

Reference:

• Coingape. Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Will Hold Above $80k as Fed Ends QT. Accessed on November 25, 2025