4 US Economic Data That Could Shake Crypto Markets by Year-End – Must Watch

Jakarta, Pintu News – December 2025 begins in a stressful atmosphere: a number of important economic data from the United States are predicted to potentially shake up global financial markets – including cryptocurrency assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Market participants are now closely monitoring four “economic moments” that could cause a spike in volatility and redefine risk sentiment.

1. US Manufacturing & Production Report – Signals of Economic Slowdown

In the latest economic calendar, US manufacturing sector confidence indices, including Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and industrial production figures, will be released soon – and the results are crucial for global markets. If the data shows further declines, this could deepen fears of an economic slowdown in the US and trigger risk-off across asset markets, including cryptocurrencies.

According to market analysis, volatility in risky asset sectors tends to increase when macroeconomic data disappoints, as large investors often withdraw funds from speculative assets to defensive assets. As such, this manufacturing report becomes an important metric in determining the direction of capital flows.

Also Read: 3 Stock Sectors Predicted to be Bought by Investors When the Technology Sector Weakens

2. Inflation & Price Indicators – Monetary Policy Catalysts

Alongside the production data, the US will also release inflation figures and price indicators – important factors that guide interest rate policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed). If inflation comes back high or above expectations, pressure on the interest rate decision could arise.

This can lead to uncertainty, so many investors may be reluctant to take high-risk positions in the crypto market. Conversely, if inflation shows a decline, speculation about interest rate cuts can fuel optimism – which also affects liquidity and fund flows into digital assets.

3. Labor & Household Consumption Data – A Mirror of Real Economic Conditions

Unemployment figures, employment levels, as well as consumer spending reports in the US are also among the data to be released. Since the consumption and labor sectors are strong, it shows that economic fundamentals are still healthy. Conversely, if there are indications of weakness there, expectations for growth could be dampened.

This situation is important for the crypto market: if the real economy weakens, yields on risky assets may fall and make investors move to more stable assets. Therefore, data on employment and consumption are closely “monitored” indicators.

4. Monetary Policy & Fed Statements – Investment Sentiment Determinants

Official statements from the Fed, including views on interest rates and inflation/economic projections, are “key moments” that can trigger market reactions in an instant. As many market participants link the central bank’s decision to the direction of global liquidity and sentiment towards risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

If the Fed signals easing (e.g. a potential interest rate cut), this could restore interest in risky assets. But if it confirms monetary tightening, markets could react negatively – triggering price declines in crypto and other assets.

FAQ

Which economic data from the US is having the most impact on the crypto market right now?

Manufacturing reports, inflation, labor data, and Fed statements – as all four can affect interest rates, global liquidity, and risk perception.

Why does US economic data matter to the global crypto market?

Since the US economy has a huge influence on global capital flows; bad data can trigger a “risk-off” and withdrawal of funds from risky assets like crypto, while good data can attract investment interest back into these assets.

Does cryptocurrency volatility increase during major economic data releases?

Yes – when macro data surprises, crypto markets often experience significant reactions as capital flows are high risk and global sentiment can change quickly.

What could happen if the Fed signals an interest rate cut soon?

Risk sentiment could improve, liquidity could increase, and assets like crypto could see capital flows return – though the impact remains dependent on further data confirmation.

Should crypto investors be overly concerned when US economic data is released?

No need to panic – economic data is important as macro context, but crypto prices are still influenced by many variables; it’s important to monitor important metrics and overall market conditions.

Reference

• Yahoo Finance. 4 US Economic Events This Week Could Shake the Crypto Market. Accessed on December 2, 2025