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Jakarta, Pintu News – Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at around $67,000 after experiencing a significant correction from its peak in October 2025. Analysts remain divided on whether 2026 will bring a recovery or further decline.
This outlook will affect the value of a $1,000 investment made today at the end of this year.
Bitcoin reached an all-time high peak above $126,000 in October 2025. Since then, its price has dropped by almost 50%, to around $60,000 on February 6 before stabilizing at around $67,000. At current levels, Bitcoin is still about 47% lower than its peak.
Read also: Crypto Market Sentiment Falls to Extreme Fear Levels: Golden Opportunity or Danger Signal?
The market structure shows continued pressure. Bitcoin is trading below its 20-day exponential moving average at $75,381, 50-day at $82,691, 100-day at $88,984, and 200-day at $94,877. Open interest in futures contracts has fallen from $95 billion in October to around $44 billion, according to Coinglass.
At the same time, the pope’s wallet that holds more than 1,000 BTC accumulated about 53,000 coins last week, which is worth about $3.65 billion.
Some analysts warn that this correction may not be over yet. Markus Thielen of 10X Research and Steven McClurg of Canary Capital project a possible move towards $50,000 if the selling pressure continues.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggests a more bearish price, predicting that Bitcoin could fall closer to $42,000 if it follows previous cyclical patterns. Brandt refers to his “banana chart” model, which compares historical declines from peak to trough.
Interestingly, Japanese research firm XWIN Research argues that Bitcoin may have already entered the early phase of a bear market. The firm cites capital flow data showing that more than $300 billion will enter the crypto market by 2025, while the overall market capitalization declines.
The Fear & Greed Crypto Index recently stood at 14, which is classified as extreme fear.
Value of $1,000 in BTC
If Bitcoin falls to $50,000 in 2026, $1,000 invested today at $67,000, which buys about 0.015 BTC, would be worth about $750. A drop to $42,000 would reduce that value to about $630.
Other analysts see potential for recovery. Bernstein maintains a Bitcoin target of $150,000 by the end of 2026. At that level, $1,000 invested today would grow to about $2,250.
Market commentator Mr. Crypto Whale projects a possible move towards $215,000 during the renewed rally phase in May. That price would make an investment of $1,000 worth about $3,200.
Read also: Goldman Sachs Cuts Back on Bitcoin and Ethereum as It Ramps Up XRP and Solana Bets
Fidelity’s director of global macro, Jurrien Timmer, has detailed a long-term model showing that Bitcoin could reach $290,456 during a mature expansion wave. At that level, 0.015 BTC would be worth around $4,350.
Institutional flows that remain mixed could determine the value of $1,000 invested today. Inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds were recorded at $145 million on Monday and $166 million on Tuesday, before an outflow of $276 million yesterday. These mixed net flows follow months of outflows totaling more than $6 billion between November and January.
Macro policies may also shape the outcome in 2026. The CME futures market indicates at least two Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. However, State Street strategist Lee Ferridge has suggested the possibility of three cuts. Lower interest rates often boost demand for riskier assets.
Interestingly, Galaxy Digital’s CEO, Mike Novogratz, said that the industry is moving past heavy speculation towards institutional adoption and tokenized assets. He also expressed confidence that the CLARITY Bill, a US crypto market bill, will eventually be passed.
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*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities are subject to high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold hard cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling Bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
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